We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player props and bets for tonight’s NBA slate. (4/20)
PLAYER PROPS
1. NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 11.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+150)
Odds: +150
Probability: 56.7%
Projection: 12.7
Edge: 16.7%
Game: Timberwolves vs Nuggets (10:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Timberwolves vs Nuggets matchup – with Nikola Jokic showing value in the total assists made prop market. Our model has narrowed down Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Total Assists as the best player bet for today. Jokic has been moving the ball a lot lately, exceeding this number in 2/5 of his most recent matchups, showing 11/1/10/13/13 in each. Matched up against the Timberwolves, Jokic has been able to hold an average of 11.3 assists made throughout four games played, giving our model a high degree of confidence in this particular wager.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Total Assists at +150 odds and an attractive 16.7% edge, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. ANTHONY EDWARDS OVER 5.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+120)
Odds: +120
Probability: 51%
Projection: 5.7
Edge: 5.5%
Game: Timberwolves vs Nuggets (10:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Timberwolves vs Nuggets game, with Anthony Edwards showing value in the total rebounds made prop market.
So far this season, Edwards has been able to hold an average of 5 REB made per game. When matched up against the Nuggets, Edwards has been able to average a total of 5.7 rebounds made in each game. In his last matchup Edwards was able to finish the game with a total of 9 rebounds made. Our model predicts that Edwards will be crashing glass, grabbing any rebound that comes his way. Our model is projecting Edwards to finish tonight’s game with a total of 5.7 assists made, giving our model confidence in this wager.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Anthony Edwards Over 5.5 Total Rebounds in tonight’s game, which gives us a 5.5% edge on the +120 odds.
3. SCOTTIE BARNES OVER 19.5 POINTS SCORED (+130)
Odds: +130
Probability: 48.9%
Projection: 19
Edge: 5.5%
Game: Raptors vs Cavaliers (7PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Scottie Barnes Over 19.5 Points Scored in the Raptors vs Cavaliers. Barnes has been playing well throughout the season, averaging a total of 18.1 PTS per game. Throughout the three games they’ve faced off head-to-head in, Barnes was able to walk away with an average of 20 points made in each. In game one of the series, Barnes was able to finish the game with a total of 21 points made, exceeding tonight’s line. Our model predicts Barnes will be able to exceed his point line again tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Scottie Barnes Over 19.5 Points Scored, with an edge of 5.5% at +130 odds.
BEST BETS
1. RAPTORS +8.5 (+102)
Odds: +102
Probability: 53.9%
Edge: 4.3%
Game: Raptors vs Cavaliers (7PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Raptors vs Cavaliers matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Raptors +8.5 is a solid wager. Throughout their three head-to-head matchups during the regular season the Raptors were able to cover tonight’s number in all three games. Although not covering in game one of the playoffs, our model predicts tonight’s game to go differently with the Raptors being able to cover tonight’s number. Our model predicts that the Raptors will be able to cover their spread tonight.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Raptors +8.5. With +102 odds and a 4.3% edge, this is our best bet of the day.
2. KNICKS -6.5 (+106)
Odds: +106
Probability: 51.4%
Edge: 2.9%
Game: Hawks vs Knicks (8PM EST)
Our model has determined another best NBA bet for today’s game slate, setting its sights on the matchup between the Hawks vs Knicks. Our Basketball Forever betting bot has pinpointed Knicks -6.5 as the play in tonight’s NBA slate. Tonight marks their second head-to-head matchup so far in round one of the playoffs, with the Knicks being able to cover number in game one of the playoffs. Our model predicts that the Knicks will end up controlling tonight’s game with our model predicting the Knicks will be able to limit the Hawks easy points, allowing for them to cover the spread tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Knicks -6.5, at +106 odds and a 2.9% edge.
READ MORE: What Gregg Popovich Said to Inspire Spurs For Playoffs