Best NBA Player Props and Bets 2/27/26

Another day of NBA betting has arrived, and we’re here to provide you with our top picks for Tuesday’s NBA basketball matchups. Our Basketball Forever betting bot has run thousands of simulations on each game today, selecting our best player props and bets for Friday, February 27, 2026.

PLAYER PROPS:

1. MIKAL BRIDGES OVER 1.5 TOTAL STEALS (+178)

Odds: +178
Probability: 46.5%
Projection: 1.6
Edge: 10.5%
Game: Knicks vs Bucks (8PM EST)

The best bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered takes place in the Knicks vs Bucks game, focusing in on Mikal Bridges Over 1.5 Total Steals. So far this season, Bridges has been able to average a total of 1.4 STL per game, showing 3/2/0/1/2 made STL over his last five games. Our model suspects that after exceeding this line in 3/5 of his most recent matchups, he’ll keep this trend going, stealing the ball from unsuspecting Bucks players. Throughout the two games played against the Bucks, Bridges was able to exceed this game in 1/2, showing 1 and 2 STL made, leaving him with an average of 1.5. Our model believes that this is a solid wager to have for tonight’s NBA slate.

Our model highly recommends wagering on Mikal Bridges Over 1.5 Total Steals, with +178 odds and a 10.5% edge.

2. DERRICK WHITE OVER 4.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+128)

Odds: +128
Probability: 49.7%
Projection: 4.4
Edge: 5.8%
Game: Nets vs Celtics (7:30PM EST)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Derrick White in the Nets vs Celtics showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Derrick White Over 4.5 Total Rebounds. So far this season, White has averaged 4.5 REB per game, showing 6/8/5/5/4 REB over his last 5 matchups, exceeding this line in 4/5 of his most recent games. Our model suspects that matched up against the Nets, White will have ample opportunities to exceed his number in tonight’s matchup.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Derrick White Over 4.5 Total Rebounds, with a detected edge of 5.8% and +128 odds.

3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 Points Scored

Odds: -108
Probability: 57%
Projection: 26.1
Edge: 5.1%
Game: Nuggets vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the last best bet of the day. Taking us all the way to Oklahoma City, where we’re locked in on the Nuggets vs Thunder matchup. In this game, our betting bot has its eyes set on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 Points Scored. So far this season SGA is averaging 31.8 points per game. Throughout his last 5 matchups, SGA has fallen short of tonight’s line showing 20/34/30/29/24 throughout his last 5 games. Based on his past games, our model predicts that SGA will fall short of his line again tonight, with our model projecting a total of 26.1 points made.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 Points Scored with -108 odds and a 5.1% edge.

Best Bets

1. NETS +17.5 (-105)

Odds: -105
Probability: 58.7%
Edge: 7.5%
Game: Nats vs Celtics (7:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Nats vs Celtics matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Nets +17.5 is a solid wager. Going into this game, both teams have no injuries on their roster. Tonight marks the fourth game these teams face off head-to-head. Throughout the first three games, the Celtics were able to win 2/3, with the Nets covering tonight’s spread 3/3. Our model suspects that with the Nets having no injuries, they’ll be able to hold their own against the Celtics. Our model predicts that the Nets will be able to keep up with the Celtics enough to cover tonight’s number, leading our model to be confident in this wager.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Nets +17.5. With -105 odds and a 7.5% edge, this is our best bet of the day.

2. NUGGETS +8.5 (+100)

Odds: +100
Probability: 54.6%
Edge: 2.3%
Game: Nuggets vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)

The next best bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered takes place between the Nuggets vs Thunder. Our model predicts that Nuggets +8.5 is a solid wager for today’s slate. The Nuggets have been able to cover this particular number in 4/5 of their most recent matchups, leading our model to have confidence in this wager. With both teams being at the top of their conference, we believe this will be a closer game than what the spread shows. Our model predicts that the Nuggets will be able to hold off the Thunder, limiting their easy buckets, allowing the Nuggets to stay within tonight’s spread.

The play here is Nuggets +8.5 with odds of +100. Our model has identified a 2.3% edge for this particular wager.