We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player prop bets for tonight.
1. ANDREW WIGGINS OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+150)
Odds: +150
Probability: 50.1%
Projection: 2.5
Edge: 10.1%
Game: Cavaliers vs Heat (7:30PM EST)
The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Miami where the Cavaliers vs Heat play tonight. In this game, our Basketball Forever betting bot narrowed down Andrew Wiggins in the total 3-pointers made prop market. Throughout the last 5 matchups, Wiggins has been able to exceed this line in 3/5 games, racking up 2/4/3/3/1 3-pointers in each game. Although falling short of this line in his most recent matchup, our model predicts he’ll be able to exceed this number tonight.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Andrew Wiggins Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made at +150 odds and an attractive 10.1% edge, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. NIKOLA JOVIC UNDER 4.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+122)
Odds: +122
Probability: 51.6%
Projection: 4.2
Edge: 6.5%
Game: Cavaliers vs Heat (7:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Cavaliers vs Heat game, with Nikola Jovic showing value in the total rebounds made prop market, with our model looking at his under 4.5 rebounds made line.
So far this season Jovic has only exceeded this line in 1/5 of his most recent games, showing 9/4/3/4/3 rebounds throughout each game. Matched up against the Cavaliers, our model predicts that their defense will be scooping up loose rebounds, limiting Jovic from being able to exceed his rebound line tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Nikola Jovic Under 4.5 Total Rebounds in tonight’s game, which gives us a 6.5% edge on the +122 odds.
3. AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 6.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+113)
Odds: +113
Probability: 53.4%
Projection: 7.1
Edge: 6.5%
Game: Wizards vs Pistons (7PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate also takes place in the Wizards vs Pistons game, with Ausar Thompson showing value in the total rebounds prop market.
Over the course of the 24/25 season, Thompson has been able to average a total of 6.6 rebounds per game. Matched up against the Wizards who are 1-9 so far this season, our model predicts that Thompson will be able to grab a lot of rebounds that come his way, leading to him exceeding tonight’s line. Thompson has exceeded this line in 2/5 of his most recent matchups, falling one rebound from covering in 3/5 games. Our model is expecting him to take control tonight, grabbing every loose ball and exceeding his line.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Ausar Thompson Over 6.5 Total Rebounds, with an edge of 6.5% at +113 odds.
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