Best NBA Player Prop Bets 11/19/24

NBA

We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player prop bets for tonight.


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TODAYS TOP VOAT PICKS

1. JAYLEN BROWN OVER 25+ PTS

2. DARIUS GARLAND OVER 25+ PTS

3. JAYSON TATUM OVER 9+ REB

4. AL HORFORD UNDER 6+ REB

5. DARIUS GARLAND UNDER 9+ AST


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1. LAMELO BALL OVER 3.5 TOTAL TURNOVERS (+120)

Odds: +120
Probability: 60.8%
Projection: 4.3
Edge: 15.3%
Game: Hornets vs Nets (7:30PM EST)

The Best NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Hornets vs Nets game, with LaMelo Ball showing value in the over turnovers prop market.

With Ball averaging 4.4 TO in the 2024/25 season, our model believes this line is a little low, with our projecting the Hornets PG to rack up 4.3 TO tonight. In his last five matchups, Ball has racked up 17 TO. When taking into account his season average, projection and the line, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that LaMelo Ball will end the game with more than 3.5 TO.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts LaMelo Ball Over 3.5 Total Turnovers in tonight’s game, which gives us an exciting 15.3% edge making this our best player bet of the day, with +120 odds.


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2. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+120)

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Odds: +120
Probability: 57.3%
Projection: 7.8
Edge: 11.9%
Game: Thunder vs Spurs (9:30PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Thunder vs Spurs game, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander showing value in the over assist market. Throughout the 24/25 season SGA has been able to average 6.3 assists per game. Over the last five games that SGA has played, he has racked up 8/4/5/9/4 assists respectively. With our Basketball Forever betting bot predicting a total of 7.8 AST, and with a 6.2 AST average per game, we highly recommend taking SGA over assists in tonight’s matchup.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 11.9% at +120 odds.


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4. JAYSON TATUM UNDER 2.5 TOTAL TURNOVERS (+135)

Odds: +135
Probability: 50.7%
Projection: 2.4
Edge: 8.1%
Game: Cavaliers vs Celtics (7PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Jayson Tatum in the Cavaliers vs Heat showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Jayson Tatum Under 2.5 Total Turnovers.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Jayson Tatum Under 2.5 Total Turnovers, with a detected edge of 8.1% and +135 odds.


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