NBA basketball is back with the start of the 24/25 season, and we have identified many attractive options to bet on across tonight’s NBA slate. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has expertly pinpointed our best NBA player prop bets for Tuesday, October 22, 2024.
TOP 5 VOAT PICKS FOR TONIGHTS NBA SLATES
1. JAYSON TATUM OVER 8+ AST
– Throughout the course of the 23/24 NBA season, Tatum was hot or cold with assists, but his passing game has improved significantly in the last 12 months. There has been almost no roster turnover for the defending champs, and Tatum should look to keep dealing.
2. MIKAL BRIDGES OVER 4+ AST
Bridges is surrounded by his best supporting cast since his Phoenix days, and he will be the secondary playmaker in a lot of minutes alongside Brunson tonight. If the Knicks starting core can shoot the ball well from minute one he should cover this number.
3. BRONNY JAMES OVER 1+ TO
Bronny makes his NBA regular season debut tonight, and our model suspects even with limited floor time, he is likely to hit this number. He turned the ball over frequently in preseason, and still looks very raw both running the break, and in motion.
4. KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 11+ REB
Towns was a good rebounder for the Timberwolves, and averaged 8.3RPG last season. He will share the floor with Josh Hart tonight who chews into starting center’s rebounding numbers, and 11 looks a touch too high here.
5. ANTHONY EDWARDS OVER 26+ PTS
Antman promises to take a massive leap this season, and with no Towns, expect his scoring to tick up 2-3 points this year.
1. KARL-ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 10.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (-105)
Odds: -105
Probability: 64.5%
Projection: 7.8
Edge: 13.3%
Game: Knicks vs Celtics (7:30PM)
The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Boston where the Knicks and Celtics face off. Our Model has narrowed Karl-Anthony Towns Under 10.5 Rebs as one of the best bets for tonight’s NBA slate. Towns was acquired in a trade with Minnesota this offseason, and slots straight in as the Knicks’ starting center. The Celtics are a strong offensive rebounding unit, and the Knicks guards also rebound above their size. For a historically average rebounder himself, this number is a little too high for KAT.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Karl-Anthony Towns Under 10.5 Rebs with -105 odds. We have found a 13.3% edge making this our best player prop bet of the day.
2. JALEN BRUNSON OVER 28.5 POINTS SCORED (-102)
Odds: -102
Probability: 58.7%
Projection: 32.8
Edge: 8.2%
Game: Knicks vs Celtics (7:30pm EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found another top NBA player prop bet, with our sights set on Jalen Brunson in the Knicks vs Celtics matchup, with Brunson showing value in the over points made prop market. Don’t underestimate the floor spacing that opens up with the addition of KAT for the Knicks. Brunson scores at all three levels, and now has a much more open paint to operate in, so we anticipate an uptick in his mid-range efficiency, leading to a subsequent uptick in his points output.
We recommend placing a bet on Jalen Brunson Over 28.5 Points, with an edge of 8.2% available at -102 odds.
3. AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-132)
Odds: -132
Probability: 62.6%
Projection: 2.7
Edge: 5.7%
Game: Knicks vs Celtics (7:30pm EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Knicks vs Celtics game, with Al Horford showing value in the over 3-pointers made prop market. Over the course of the 23/24 season, Horford averaged 1.7 3-pointers per game. Last season the Knicks allowed for an average of 34.3 3-point attempts to opposing teams. Horford should see plenty of corner and spot-up looks with the way the Knicks like to defend the perimeter.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Al Horford Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us a 5.7% edge on the -132 odds.
4. JOSH HART OVER 8.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+105)
Odds: +105
Probability: 54.4%
Projection: 9.3
Edge: 5.7%
Game: Knicks vs Celtics (7pm EST)
The last NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in Tonight’s Knicks vs Celtics game, with Josh Hart showing value in the over 8.5 rebounds prop market. Over the course of the 23/24 season Hart was a monster on the boards, averaging 8.3 RPG despite being undersized. He also averaged 9RPG against Boston last year, and we already know he will play 38+ minutes a night in Thibs’ system.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Josh Hart Over 8.5 Total Rebounds in tonight’s game, which gives us a 5.7% edge with +105 odds.