We’re back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best playoff player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. TYRESE HALIBURTON OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+114)
Odds: +114
Probability: 55.6%
Projection: 9.5
Edge: 8.9%
Game: Pacers vs Celtics (8PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Pacers vs Celtics, with Tyrese Haliburton showing value in the over assists prop market. Our model has narrowed down Tyrese Haliburton Over 8.5 Total Assists as the best player bet for today. Throughout the 23/24 postseason, Haliburton has been able to average a total of 8.1 assists per game. When facing off against the Celtics in the preseason however, this number jumps to an average of 9 assists made per game. With a projection of 9.5 in tonights game against the Celtics, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that Tyrese Haliburton will go over 8.5 assists
Our model recommends placing a wager on Tyrese Haliburton Over 8.5 Total Assists at +114 odds and an attractive 11.7% edge through Draftkings Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. JAYLEN BROWN OVER 25.5 POINTS SCORED (-102)
Odds: -102
Probability: 58.1%
Projection: 29.5
Edge: 7.6%
Game: Pacers vs Celtics (8PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s playoff slate takes place in the Pacers vs Celtics game, with Jaylen Brown showing value in the over points scored prop market. Brown has been a solid option throughout the 23/24 postseason, averaging 23.1 PPG and 6.6 rebounds even with one poor performance (by his standards) against the Cavaliers. Through the regular season the Celtics and Pacers have played each other in five different matchups. Over the course of these five games, Brown was able to hold a solid average of 28.4 points per game. When taking into account his projection, regular season average, and postseason average, our Basketball Forever betting bot suspects that this is a must have bet.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Jaylen Brown Over 25.5 Points Scored, with an edge of 7.6% at -102 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. MYLES TURNER OVER 16.5 POINTS SCORED (-102)
Odds: -102
Probability: 58.1%
Projection: 20.5
Edge: 7.6%
Game: Pacers vs Celtics (8PM EST)
The next best NBA playoff player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Pacers vs Celtics game, with Myles Turner showing value in the over points scored prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 postseason, Turner has been able to play some good ball, averaging 17.5 points, and 6.5 rebounds per game. Our model predicts that with tonight being the first game of the series, the Pacers will come out hot, trying to take the lead and hold it as soon as possible, with Turner playing a crucial role in offense racking up points.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Myles Turner Over 16.5 Points Scored in tonight’s game, which gives us an 7.6% edge on the -102 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. ANDREW NEMBHARD OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+124)
Odds: +124
Probability: 51.3%
Projection: 4.8
Edge: 6.6%
Game: Pacers vs Celtics (8PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Andrew Nembhard in the Pacers vs Celtics showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Andrew Nembhard Over 4.5 Total Assists.
Over the course of the 2023/24 postseason Nembhard has averaged 4.8 assists per game, with an average of 4.1 throughout the regular season. Over the course of the first round of the playoffs, Hart was able to average a total of 4.7 assists per game, with a second round average of 5 assists through seven games. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that with an average of 4.8 assists throughout the postseason and a projection of 4.8 total assists, we highly recommend wagering on Nembhard over 4.5 assists.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Andrew Nembhard Over 4.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 6.6% and +124 odds on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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