We’re back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best playoff player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. MYLES TURNER OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+148)
Odds: +148
Probability: 58.6%
Projection: 3.3
Edge: 18.3%
Game: Knicks vs Pacers (8:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Knicks vs Pacers, with Myles Turner showing value in the over 3-pointers made prop market. Our model has narrowed down Myles Turner Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet for today. Throughout the 23/24 playoff season Turner has been able to average a total of 2.6 3-pointers per game. When matched up against the Knicks, Turner has been able to exceed this line in the last two games, racking up 4 and 3 3-pointers in each. The Pacers seem to elevate in front of their home fans, and there’s no reason he can’t replicate that tonight.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Myles Turner Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made at +148 odds and an attractive 18.3% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. Josh Hart Over 4.5 Total Assists (+120)
Odds: +120
Probability: 57.5%
Projection: 5.8
Edge: 11.2%
Game: Knicks vs Pacers (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s playoff slate takes place in the Knicks vs Pacers game, with Josh Hart showing value in the over assists prop market. Hart has averaged 4.1 assists per game on the season, with a 4.6 assist average in the 23/24 postseason. After only getting 3/2/4 assists over the last three games, our model predicts that Hart will be the beneficiary of higher usage with the heightened attention which will be undoubtedly paid to Brunson tonight. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Hart to finish the game with 5.8 assists, we recommend wagering on Josh Hart Over 4.5 Total Assists.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Josh Hart Over 4.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 11.2% at +120 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. JALEN BRUNSON OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+122)
Odds: +122
Probability: 56.2%
Projection: 3.1
Edge: 11.2%
Game: Knicks vs Pacers (8:30PM EST)
The next best NBA playoff player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Knicks vs Pacers game, with Jalen Brunson showing value in the over 3-pointers made prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Brunson has been able to average 2.7 3-pointers per game, with our model projecting him to rack up 3.1 3-pointers in tonight’s matchup. With tonight being a clinch game for the Knicks, Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that the Knicks are going to step up and end the series tonight in order to move to the ECF against the Celtics.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us an 11.2% edge on the +122 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 4.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (-115)
Odds: +106
Probability: 55.8%
Projection: 11.5
Edge: 7.3%
Game: Knicks vs Pacers (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Donte DiVincenzo in the Knicks vs Pacers showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Donte DiVincenzo Over 4.5 Total Rebounds.
Over the course of the 2023/24 regular season DiVincenzo has averaged 3.7 rebounds per game, With a 4.0 RPG average in the postseason. In the last five postseason games that he’s played in, he has been able to exceed this line in 3/5 games. Hartenstein is going to get gang boxed out on the boards tonight after grabbing 12-O boards in G5, and this should give Divo a number of open lanes to snatch boards.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Donte DiVincenzo Over 4.5 Total Rebounds, with a detected edge of 7.3% and +106 odds on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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