Best NBA Playoff Player Prop Bets (5/15/24)

NBA

We’re back today with another exciting NBA playoff slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every NBA playoff game to expertly pinpoint our best player bets for tonight.


1. LUGUENTZ DORT OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+150)

Odds: +150
Probability: 54.7%
Projection: 2.9
Edge: 14.7%
Game: Mavericks vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA playoff player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Mavericks vs Thunder matchup, with Luguentz Dort showing value in the total 3-pointers made market. Our model has narrowed down Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet for today. Dort has played a huge part in the Thunder’s 3-point efforts in the playoffs, racking up 2/4/4/2 in his postseason appearances against the Pelicans. When facing off against the Mavs in the postseason, Dort has been able to keep these numbers rolling, sinking 3/2/2/2 3-pointers in each respective game. With an average of 2.3 3-pointers per game against the Mavs and a projection of 2.9 in tonight’s game, our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made.

Our model recommends placing a wager on Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made at +150 odds and an attractive 14.7% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.

2. LUKA DONCIC OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+112)

Odds: +112
Probability: 59.1%
Projection: 4.4
Edge: 12%
Game: Mavericks vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff slate also takes place in the Mavericks vs Thunder game, with Luka Doncic showing value in the over 3-pointers made prop market. Throughout the 23/24 playoffs, Luka has been hot and cold from beyond the arc. Against the Thunder, he has sunk 2/1/5/1 in each game respectively. Our model suspects that after slacking in the past two games, averaging 1.5 3-pointers and 20 points, Doncic is expected to have an outstanding game tonight. With an average of 3.2 3-pointers per game throughout the playoffs, we believe he’ll get hot and cover this number.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 12% at +112 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.

4. JAYLEN BROWN OVER 24.5 POINTS SCORED (-110)

Odds: -110
Probability: 59.2%
Projection: 29.1
Edge: 6.9%
Game: Cavaliers vs Celtics (7PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Jaylen Brown in the Cavaliers vs Celtics showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Jaylen Brown Over 24.5 Points Scored.

Over the course of the 2023/24 regular season Brown has averaged 23 points per game, With a 24.5 PPG average in the postseason. When faced against the Cavs in the postseason, Brown has been able to exceed a 24.5 point line in 3/4 games, only failing to do so in the game they lost. With the Celtics being heavily favored, our model believes this is a no sweat bet.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Jaylen Brown Over 24.5 Points Scored, with a detected edge of 6.9% and -110 odds on Draftkings Sportsbook.

 

Related Article:  Best NBA Playoff Player Prop Bets (5/21/24)

What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?

An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.

Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.

 

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How to Join FanDuel Sportsbook

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FanDuel Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.

 

How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.

 


 

DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.

 

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