We’re back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best playoff player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. MYLES TURNER OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-122)
Odds: -122
Probability: 66.6%
Projection: 3.2
Edge: 11.7%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (8PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Pacers vs Knicks, with Myles Turner showing value in the total 3-pointers made market. Our model has narrowed down Myles Turner Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet for today. Throughout the 23/24 season, Turner has been able to average a total of 1.5 3-pointers made per game. When facing off against the Knicks however, this number jumps to an average of 2.7 3’s made per game. Turner went 3/3 on 3-pointers last game, and Indy’s offense has found its groove. Keep riding.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Myles Turner Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made at -122 odds and an attractive 11.7% edge through Draftkings Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. JALEN BRUNSON OVER 32.5 POINTS SCORED (+100)
Odds: +100
Probability: 61.3%
Projection: 38.2
Edge: 11%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (8PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s playoff slate takes place in the Pacers vs Knicks game, with Jalen Brunson showing value in the over-points scored market. Brunson has been a powerhouse throughout the 23/24 postseason, averaging 32.9 PPG and 7.6 assists even with two poor performances (by his standards) over his last two outings. Our Basketball Forever betting bot thinks that Brunson will have a big bounce back game tonight, projecting 38.2 points.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Jalen Brunson Over 32.5 Points Scored, with an edge of 11% at +100 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+130)
Odds: +130
Probability: 54.4%
Projection: 5.3
Edge: 11%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (8PM EST)
The next best NBA playoff player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Pacers vs Knicks game, with Isaiah Hartenstein showing value in the total assists prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 regular season, when matched against the Pacers, Hartenstein has been able to average 6.0 APG, with a postseason average of 4.3 APG. Tonight, our model predicts he will rack up 5.3 assists.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an 11% edge on the +130 odds currently available at Draftkings Sportsbook.
4. JOSH HART OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+120)
Odds: +120
Probability: 52.5%
Projection: 6
Edge: 7.1%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (8PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Josh Hart in the Pacers vs Knicks showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Josh Hart Over 5.5 Total Assists.
Over the course of the 2023/24 regular season Hart has averaged 4.1 assists per game, with an average of 3.0 against the Pacers throughout the regular season. Over the course of the first round of the playoffs, Hart was able to average a total of 4.5 assists per game, with a second round average of 5.3 assists through 4 games. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that with an average of 5.3 assists against the Pacers and a projection of 6 total assists, we highly recommend wagering on Hart over 5.5 assists.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Josh Hart Over 5.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 7.1% and +120 odds on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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