We’re back today with another exciting NBA playoff slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every NBA playoff game to expertly pinpoint our best player bets for tonight.
1. JOSH HART OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS (-106)
Odds: -106
Probability: 57.3%
Projection: 14
Edge: 17.5%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (8PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA playoff player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Pacers vs Knicks matchup, with Josh Hart showing value in the total rebounds market. Our model has narrowed down Josh Hart Over 12.5 Rebounds as the best player bet for today. Hart has played a huge part in the Knicks rebound game in the playoffs, racking up 13/14/9/17/6/15/13 in his postseason appearances. Indy is not a good defensive rebounding team, so Hart should be attacking the offensive glass for 48 straight minutes, allowing him to get over this number.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Josh Hart Over 12.5 Rebounds at -106 odds and an attractive 17.5% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. MILES MCBRIDE OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+165)
Odds: +165
Probability: 56.2%
Projection: 2.6
Edge: 16.5%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (8PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff slate also takes place in the Pacers vs Knicks game, with Miles McBride showing value in the over 3-pointers prop market. Throughout the first round against the 76ers Miles McBride has been able to average a total of 2.2 3-pointers per game on 5 attempts. Our model suspects that with proper minutes McBride should have little to no issue exceeding 1.5 3-pointers in tonight’s game against the Pacers.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Miles McBride Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 16.5% at +165 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. MYLES TURNER OVER 17.5 POINTS (-118)
Odds: -118
Probability: 53.8%
Projection: 19.3
Edge: 15.5%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (8PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Pacers vs Knicks, with Myles Turner showing value in the over points prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Turner has been able to average 17.1 points per game, with our model predicting a total of 19.3 points by the end of the 4th quarter. Turner has a unique ability to stretch the floor as a big man, and he puts a lot of pressure on the Knicks big men defensively.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Myles Turner Over 17.5 Points Scored in tonight’s game, which gives us an 15.5% edge on the -118 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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