We’re back today with another exciting NBA playoff slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every NBA playoff game to expertly pinpoint our best player bets for tonight.
1. PAUL GEORGE OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+145)
Odds: +145
Probability: 59.9%
Projection: 4.5
Edge: 19.1%
Game: Clippers vs Mavericks (9:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA playoff player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Clippers vs Mavericks matchup, with Paul George showing value in the total 3-pointers made market. Our model has narrowed down Paul George Over 3.5 3-pointers made as the best player bet for today. George has been big in spots for the Clips this series, and if they are to compete tonight, he will have to have a bumper offensive game. The attempts won’t be an issue – so hopefully he finds his stroke, and cashes this pick.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Paul George Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made at +145 odds and an attractive 19.1% edge through Draftkings Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. LUKA DONCIC OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-120)
Odds: -120
Probability: 69.7%
Projection: 5.7
Edge: 15.1%
Game: Clippers vs Mavericks (9:30PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff slate also takes place in the Clippers vs Mavericks game, with Luka Doncic showing value in the over 3-pointers prop market. Doncic averages 4.1 3-pointers per game on the season, and has exceeded this line in 2/5 games throughout the postseason. Luka is a big-game player, and this number is too low in a potential series-ending game tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 15.1% at -120 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. KYRIE IRVING OVER 25.5 POINTS SCORED (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 63.9%
Projection: 33
Edge: 12.9%
Game: Clippers vs Mavericks (9:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Clippers vs Mavericks, with Kyrie Irving showing value in the over points prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Irving has been able to average 25.6 points per game, with our model predicting a total of 33 points by the end of the 4th quarter. When matched up against the Clippers, Irving has been able to average 26.5 PPG, and he will see a lot of usage tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Kyrie Irving Over 25.5 Points Scored in tonight’s game, which gives us an 12.9% edge on the -104 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+124)
Odds: +124
Probability: 55.9%
Projection: 6.6
Edge: 11.2%
Game: Cavalier vs Magic (7PM EST)
According to our model, the last best NBA playoff player prop bet for tonight features Donovan Mitchell in the Cavalier vs Magic showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Donovan Mitchell Over 5.5 Total Assists.
Over the course of the 2023/24 season Russell has averaged 6.1 assists per game. Our model predicts that Mitchell will be able to exceed this line – predicting 6.6 total assists in tonight’s matchup.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Donovan Mitchell Over 5.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 11.2% and +124 odds on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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