We’re back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best playoff player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. MYLES TURNER OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+110)
Odds: +110
Probability: 65.2%
Projection: 4.0
Edge: 17.6%
Game: Pacers vs Bucks (9:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Pacers vs Bucks, with Myles Turner showing value in the total 3-pointers made market. Our model has narrowed down Myles Turner Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet for today. Throughout the 23/24 postseason Turner has been able to average a total of 4.3 3-pointers per game. Throughout the last 4 postseason games that Turner has played in, he has been able to cover this line 4/4 times, sinking 7/4/3/3 3-pointers in each game respectively. He’s letting it fly right now, and hitting at an unconscious rate.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Myles Turner Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made at +110 odds and an attractive 17.6% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. JOEL EMBIID OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+115)
Odds: +115
Probability: 60.9%
Projection: 7.4
Edge: 14.4%
Game: 76ers vs Knicks (7PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s playoff slate takes place in the 76ers vs Knicks game, with Joel Embiid showing value in the over assists market. Embiid averages 5.6 assists per game on the season, and has exceeded this number in four of his last five postseason games, only falling 2 assists short in the game he didn’t hit the line. In this series, Embiid has really pulled his weight especially considering he is still suffering from the left knee injury that left him out for most of the season. With averages of 35PTS, 5.5AST, and 9REBS in the postseason our model suspects that Embiid will turn up tonight to secure their second win against the Knicks in the series.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Joel Embiid Over 5.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 14.4% at +115 odds available on BetMGM Sportsbook.
3. JALEN BRUNSON OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+100)
Odds: +100
Probability: 59.6%
Projection: 3.4
Edge: 9.6%
Game: 76ers vs Knicks (7PM EST)
The next best NBA playoff player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the 76ers vs Knicks game, with Jalen Brunson showing value in the over 3-pointers prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Brunson has been able to average 2.7 3-pointers per game. Since they could very well be the last game of the series. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that the Knicks will leave it all on the court and push for that final win to end this first round matchup.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us a 9.6% edge on the +100 odds currently available at BetMGM Sportsbook.
4. DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+115)
Odds: +115
Probability: 56.1%
Projection: 6.6
Edge: 9.6%
Game: Magic vs Cavaliers (8PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Donovan Mitchell in the Magic vs Cavaliers showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Donovan Mitchell Over 5.5 Total Assists.
Over the course of the 2023/24 season Mitchell has averaged 5.1 assists per game, with an average of 5 over his last 5 games in the postseason. In recent matchups against the Magic, Mitchell has been able to rack up a total of 6/7/4/3/5 assists in each game.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Donovan Mitchell Over 5.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 9.6% and +115 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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