We’re back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best playoff player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. TYRESE HALIBURTON OVER 10.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+105)
Odds: +105
Probability: 61%
Projection: 12.4
Edge: 13.3%
Game: Pacers vs Bucks (8:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Pacers vs Bucks, with Tyrese Haliburton showing value in the total assist market. Our model has narrowed down Tyrese Haliburton Over 10.5 Total Assists as the best player bet for today. Throughout the 23/24 season Haliburton has been able to average a total of 10.9 assists per game, while also averaging 11 assists through five games against the Bucks. He had a tough outing in G1, and it’s bounce back time.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Tyrese Haliburton Over 10.5 Total Assists at +105 odds and an attractive 13.3%% edge through Draftkings Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. JAMES HARDEN OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-118)
Odds: -118
Probability: 65.1%
Projection: 11.4
Edge: 11%
Game: Mavericks vs Clippers (10PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s playoff slate takes place in the Mavericks vs Clippers game, with DJames Harden showing value in the over assist market. James Harden averages 8.5 assists per game on the season, and was phenomenal in game one.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on James Harden Over 8.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 11% at -118 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. LUKA DONCIC OVER 9.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+110)
Odds: +110
Probability: 58.5%
Projection: 11
Edge: 10.9%
Game: Mavericks vs Clippers (10PM EST)
The next best NBA playoff player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Mavericks vs Clippers game, with Luka Doncic showing value in the over assists prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Doncic has been able to average 9.8APG. Our model believes this line is a little low with it actually projecting Doncic to rack up 11 assists in tonight’s matchup. The Mavs slept walk through the first half in G1, and expect a nuclear Luka performance tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an 10.9% edge on the +110 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. TYRESE HALIBURTON OVER 19.5 POINTS SCORED (-102)
Odds: -102
Probability: 57.4%
Projection: 23.1
Edge: 6.9%
Game: Pacers vs Bucks (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Tyrese Haliburton in the Pacers vs Bucks showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Tyrese Haliburton Over 19.5 Points Scored.
Over the course of the 2023/24 season Haliburton has averaged 20.1 points per game, with an average of 18.7 over his last 10 games. In recent matchups against the Bucks, Haliburton has been able to average 27 points over the five head-to-head games as opponents.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Tyrese Haliburton Over 19.5 Points Scored, with a detected edge of 6.9% and -102 odds on Draftkings Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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