We’re back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best playoff player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. PAOLO BANCHERO OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+106)
Odds: +106
Probability: 64.1%
Projection: 8.1
Edge: 15.6%
Game: Magic vs Cavaliers (7PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA playoff matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Magic vs Cavaliers, with Paolo Banchero showing value in the total assists market. Our model has narrowed down Paolo Banchero Over 5.5 Total Assist as the best player bet for today. Throughout the 23/24 season Banchero has been able to average a total of 5.4 assists per game. Throughout the last 5 games that Banchero has played in, he has been able to cover this line 4/5 times. He needs a big game tonight as Orlando try to level up the series against Cleveland, so expect most of the offense to be run through him.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Paolo Banchero Over 5.5 Total Assists at +106 odds and an attractive 15.6% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. ANTHONY DAVIS OVER 24.5 POINTS SCORED (-102)
Odds: -102
Probability: 65.2%
Projection: 33.1
Edge: 14.7%
Game: Lakers vs Nuggets (10PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s playoff slate takes place in the Lakers vs Nuggets game, with Anthony Davis showing value in the over points scored market. Davis averages 24.7 points per game on the season, and has exceeded this number in three of his last five games, only falling one basket short in one of those games. In the last matchup against the Nuggets, Davis was able to step up – scoring a total of 32 points with 15 rebounds and 5 assists. Our model predicts tonight’s game to go in a similar fashion.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Anthony Davis Over 24.5 Points Scored, with an edge of 14.7% at -102 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-128)
Odds: -128
Probability: 69.3%
Projection: 12.9
Edge: 13.2%
Game: Lakers vs Nuggets (10PM EST)
The next best NBA playoff player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Lakers vs Nuggets game, with Nikola Jokic showing value in the over assists prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Jokic has been able to average 9 assists per game. Our model believes this line is a little low with it actually projecting Jokic to rack up 12.9 assists in tonight’s game.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an 13.2% edge on the -128 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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