Best NBA Player Prop Bets (4/10/24)

NBA

Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across tonight’s NBA slate. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has expertly pinpointed our best basketball bets for Wednesday, April 10, 2024.


1. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+110)

Odds: +110
Probability: 63.5%
Projection: 8
Edge: 15.9%
Game: Spurs vs Thunder (8PM EST)

The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Today, finding value in the total assists prop market. With our sights set on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Total Assists in the Spurs vs Thunder matchup. SGA has a season average of 6.3 assists per game. When matched up against the Spurs, SGA averages 6 APG. This leads our model to predict that against a Spurs team whose roster has four players listed as GTD, SGA should have an easier time covering this number.

We recommend placing a wager on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Total Assists, with an attractive edge of 15.9%, with +110 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.

2. MIKAL BRIDGES OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-118)

Odds: -118
Probability:
Projection: 4.0
Edge: 11.2%
Game: Raptors vs Nets (7:30PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Raptors vs Nets game, with Mikal Bridges showing value in the total 3-pointers made prop market. Bridges has been hot from behind the arc over his last 10 games, covering this number in nine of his last 10. Tonight, our model expects that with two nights of rest, Bridges will be able to sink over 2.5 3-pointers.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Mikal Bridges Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us an 11.2% edge on the -118 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.

3. KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+114)

Odds: +114
Probability:
Projection: 5.7
Edge: 10.2%
Game: Suns vs Clippers (10:30PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Kevin Durant in the Suns vs Clippers game. With KD showing value in the over assists prop market. Throughout the season, KD has been able to average 5.2 assists per game. Over the last five games he has been able to beat this line in three of them. Tonight should go pretty similarly considering the Clippers roster has three players listed as GTD, and the Suns playing must win basketball.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Kevin Durant Over 4.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 10.2% at +114 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.

4. CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+104)

Odds: +104
Probability:
Projection: 7.4
Edge: 7.2%
Game: Spurs vs Thunder (8PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Chet Holmgren in the Spurs vs Thunder. Our betting bot has found value in Chet Holmgren Under 8.5 Total Rebounds. Fighting Wemby on his defensive glass, it’ll be a battle for Holmgren to rack rebounds up, and there’s some value in taking his under.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Chet Holmgren Under 8.5 Total Rebounds, with a detected edge of 7.2% and odds at +104 on Fanduel Sportsbook.

 

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What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?

An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.

Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.

 

Responsible Gambling

Our commitment lies in advocating for responsible wagering to ensure a secure and pleasurable experience for everyone involved. Engaging in sports betting responsibly is paramount. Establishing a budget, comprehending the odds, and staying informed about the legal framework in your area are essential steps. Trusted platforms such as FanDuel and BetMGM actively support responsible betting practices, offering valuable resources to help individuals manage their wagering activities in a safe manner.

 

How to Join BetMGM

Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.

 


 

BetMGM Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, and WY. 

 

How to Join FanDuel Sportsbook

FanDuel offers a user-friendly platform tailored for newcomers to sports betting. It boasts a diverse selection of betting options, encompassing traditional choices such as point spreads and moneylines, along with an extensive range of prop bets. Moreover, FanDuel extends a generous welcome bonus, providing new users with a layup as they start their betting journey.

 


 

FanDuel Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.

 

How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.

 


 

DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.

 

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