Another day of NBA basketball is among us. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for today’s NBA slate. (4/9) We love offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions.
1. PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+135)
Odds: +135
Probability: 5.3
Projection:
Edge: 17.7%
Game: Racers vs Raptors (7PM EST)
The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Toronto where the Racers vs Raptors get ready to face off. Throughout the 23/24 season Pascal Siakam has been able to average a total of 4.4 assists per game. When playing against the Raptors this number jumps, averaging 6.5APG against them. Our model predicts that Siakam will be able to go over 3.5 assists tonight due to the injuries plaguing the Raptors roster. Out of the five people listed on their injury report, only one is listed as GTD while the other 4 are listed as OUT.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Pascal Siakam Over 3.5 Total Assists with +135 odds through Draftkings Sportsbook. We have found a 17.7% edge making this our best player prop bet of the day.
2. TYRESE HALIBURTON OVER 10.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-102)
Odds: (-102)
Probability:
Projection: 13.6
Edge: 15.9%
Game: Pacers vs Raptors (7PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Pacers vs Raptors game, with Tyrese Haliburton showing value in the over total assist prop market. Over the course of the 23/24 season Haliburton has been a solid all around player able to score points and make plays that lead to assists. He averages season 10.9 assists on the season. This number jumps to 11.7 APG against the Raps.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Tyrese Haliburton Over 10.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us a 15.9% edge on the -102 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. KELLY OLYNYK OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+114)
Odds: +114
Probability:
Projection: 8.7
Edge: 15.4%
Game: Pacers vs Raptors (7PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found another great NBA player prop bet, with our sights set on Kelly Olynyk in the Pacers vs Raptors matchup. Olynyk has been a solid all support player this season, able to grab rebounds and make plays that lead to points scored. Over the last 10 games, Olynyk had an average of 6.4 APG. Our model suspects that with the injuries on the Raptors roster, Olynyk will get more opportunities to make plays that lead to points, getting him to exceed his 6.5 assist line.
We recommend placing a bet on Kelly Olynyk Over 6.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 15.4% available at +114 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. JAYSON TATUM OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+114)
Odds: +114
Probability:
Projection: 5.8
Edge: 10.6%
Game: Celtics vs Bucks (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Jayson Tatum in the Celtics vs Bucks showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Jayson Tatum Over 4.5 Total Assists.
Over the course of the 2023/24 season Jayson Tatum has averaged 4.9 assists per game. Our model predicts that Tatum will exceed this line – predicting a total of 5.8 assists in tonight’s matchup against the Bucks. After having the whole weekend to rest, our model suspects that Tatum will come out tonight well rested and ready to play.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Jayson Tatum Over 4.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 10.6% and +114 odds on Draftkings Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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