We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best player bets for tonight.
1. DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 4.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+112)
Odds: +112
Probability: 64.4%
Projection: 5.9
Edge: 17.3%
Game: Kings vs Knicks (7:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Kings vs Knicks matchup, with Donte DiVincenzo showing value in the total 3-pointers market. Our model has narrowed down Donte DiVincenzo Over 4.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet for today. DiVincenzo has been turning up as of late, averaging 4.5 threes a game over the month of March. He has also managed to exceed this line in four of his last five games. Our model projects that Donte DiVincenzo will have 5.9. threes tonight.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Donte DiVincenzo Over 4.5 3-Pointers Made at +112 odds and an attractive 17.3% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. KYRIE IRVING Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+130)
Odds: +130
Probability: 58.8%
Projection: 4.3
Edge: 15.3%
Game: Hawks vs Mavericks (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Hawks vs Mavericks game, with Kyrie Irving showing value in the over 3-pointers market. Kyrie Irving averages three made 3-pointers per game on the season, and has exceeded this number in four of his last five games. With Doncic on the court with Irving attractign all the defensive attention, Irving has ample opportunity to get open look after open look from behind the arc. In addition, the Hawks struggle defending the perimeter, and as a result, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that Irving will cover this number.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Kyrie Irving Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 15.3% at +130 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+104)
Odds: +104
Probability: 60.2%
Projection: 10.3
Edge: 11.4%
Game: Kings vs Knicks (7:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Kings vs Knicks game, with Domantas Sabonis showing value in the over assists prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Sabonis has been able to average 8.3APG. Our model believes this line is a little low with it actually projecting Sabonis to rack up 10.3 assists in tonight’s matchup. Tonight marks the second game that the Kings and Knicks will face off against each other this year. In the last five games that Sabonis has played, he has been able to exceed this line in four of them, recording 9/6/10/9/10 respectively.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Domantas Sabonis Over 8.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an 11.4% edge on the +104 odds currently available at Draftkings Sportsbook.
4. LUKA DONCIC OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-160)
Odds: -160
Probability: 59.4%
Projection: 5.3
Edge: 6.3%
Game: Hawks vs Mavericks (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Luka Doncic in the Hawks vs Mavericks showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made.
Over the course of the 2023/24 season Doncic averages four 3-pointers per game. Our model predicts that Doncic will be able to exceed this line – predicting 5.3 total 3-pointers in tonight’s matchup.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made, with a detected edge of 6.3% and -160 odds on Draftkings Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
Responsible Gambling
Our commitment lies in advocating for responsible wagering to ensure a secure and pleasurable experience for everyone involved. Engaging in sports betting responsibly is paramount. Establishing a budget, comprehending the odds, and staying informed about the legal framework in your area are essential steps. Trusted platforms such as FanDuel and BetMGM actively support responsible betting practices, offering valuable resources to help individuals manage their wagering activities in a safe manner.
How to Join BetMGM
Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.
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How to Join FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel offers a user-friendly platform tailored for newcomers to sports betting. It boasts a diverse selection of betting options, encompassing traditional choices such as point spreads and moneylines, along with an extensive range of prop bets. Moreover, FanDuel extends a generous welcome bonus, providing new users with a layup as they start their betting journey.
FanDuel Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.
DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
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