NBA Best Player Prop Bets (3/28/30)


Another day of NBA basketball is among us. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for today’s NBA slate. (3/28) We love offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions


Odds: -104
Probability: 53.2%
Projection: 7.1
Edge: 14.4%
Game: Bucks vs Pelicans (8PM EST)

The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to New Orleans where the Bucks vs Pelicans get ready to face off. The Pelicans are up against a Bucks team who have a number of players listed as GTD, but are expected to play. Throughout March in the 23/24 season Trey Murphy has been able to average 5.8 rebounds a game per 30.8 minutes. Murray has also been able to clear this line in 12 of his past 16 games, and should cover the number tonight, too.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Trey Murphy III Over 5.5 Rebounds with -104 odds through Fanduel Sportsbook. We have found a 14.4% edge making this our best player prop bet of the day.


Odds: -138
Probability: 55.4%
Projection: 27.3
Edge: 12.5%
Game: Bucks vs Pelicans (8PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Bucks vs Pelicans game, with Kris Middleton showing value in the over PRA prop market. Over the course of the 23/24 season Middleton has been a solid all around player, who importantly, is getting healthy and more consistent in recent weeks. He has covered this number in four of his last five appearances. Our Basketball forever betting bot predicts that with at least 26 minutes of PT, Middleton should be able to go over his 24.5 PRA line.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Kris Middleton Over 24.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast in tonight’s game, which gives us a 12.5% edge on the -138 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.


Odds: -130
Probability 56.3%
Projection: 20.2
Edge: 11.8%
Game: Celtics vs Hawks (7:30PM EST)

The Basketball Forever betting bot has found another great NBA player prop bet, with our sights set on Kristaps Porzingis in the Celtics vs Hawks matchup. Porzingis has been a great all around player for the Celtics this season. Averaging 20 points with 1.9 assists per game, we believe this will be a no sweat bet. KP has been able to cover this line in all of his last five games, covering in three of them with points alone. Our Basketball forever betting bot predicts that Porzingis will have no issue exceeding this line as long as the Celtics don’t end up blowing out the Hawks.

We recommend placing a bet on Kristaps Porzingis Over 18.5 Pts+Ast, with an edge of 11.8% available at -130 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.


What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?

An edge occurs when the prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.

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Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.


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Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.



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How to Join FanDuel Sportsbook

FanDuel offers a user-friendly platform tailored for newcomers to sports betting. It boasts a diverse selection of betting options, encompassing traditional choices such as point spreads and moneylines, along with an extensive range of prop bets. Moreover, FanDuel extends a generous welcome bonus, providing new users with a layup as they start their betting journey.



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How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.



DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.


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