Another day of NBA basketball is among us. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for today’s NBA slate. (3/28) We love offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions
1. TREY MURPHY III OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 53.2%
Projection: 7.1
Edge: 14.4%
Game: Bucks vs Pelicans (8PM EST)
The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to New Orleans where the Bucks vs Pelicans get ready to face off. The Pelicans are up against a Bucks team who have a number of players listed as GTD, but are expected to play. Throughout March in the 23/24 season Trey Murphy has been able to average 5.8 rebounds a game per 30.8 minutes. Murray has also been able to clear this line in 12 of his past 16 games, and should cover the number tonight, too.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Trey Murphy III Over 5.5 Rebounds with -104 odds through Fanduel Sportsbook. We have found a 14.4% edge making this our best player prop bet of the day.
2. KRIS MIDDLETON OVER 24.5 PTS+REBS+AST (-138)
Odds: -138
Probability: 55.4%
Projection: 27.3
Edge: 12.5%
Game: Bucks vs Pelicans (8PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Bucks vs Pelicans game, with Kris Middleton showing value in the over PRA prop market. Over the course of the 23/24 season Middleton has been a solid all around player, who importantly, is getting healthy and more consistent in recent weeks. He has covered this number in four of his last five appearances. Our Basketball forever betting bot predicts that with at least 26 minutes of PT, Middleton should be able to go over his 24.5 PRA line.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Kris Middleton Over 24.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast in tonight’s game, which gives us a 12.5% edge on the -138 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. KRISTAPS PORZINGIS OVER 18.5 PTS+AST (-130)
Odds: -130
Probability 56.3%
Projection: 20.2
Edge: 11.8%
Game: Celtics vs Hawks (7:30PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found another great NBA player prop bet, with our sights set on Kristaps Porzingis in the Celtics vs Hawks matchup. Porzingis has been a great all around player for the Celtics this season. Averaging 20 points with 1.9 assists per game, we believe this will be a no sweat bet. KP has been able to cover this line in all of his last five games, covering in three of them with points alone. Our Basketball forever betting bot predicts that Porzingis will have no issue exceeding this line as long as the Celtics don’t end up blowing out the Hawks.
We recommend placing a bet on Kristaps Porzingis Over 18.5 Pts+Ast, with an edge of 11.8% available at -130 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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