We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best player bets for tonight’s NBA slate.
1. DARIUS GARLAND OVER 1.5 TOTAL STEALS (+180)
Odds: +180
Probability: 45.8%
Projection: 1.2
Edge: 10.1%
Game: Hornets vs Cavaliers (7PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Hornets vs Cavaliers matchup, with Darius Garland showing value in the total steals market. Our model has narrowed down Darius Garland Over 1.5 Total Steals as the best player bet for today. With an average of 1.2 steals per game and matching up against the Hornets today (who average 13.1 turnovers per game), there will be plenty of opportunities to go over this number.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Darius Garland Over 1.5 Total Steals at +180 odds and an attractive 10.1% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. JARRETT ALLEN OVER 11.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+100)
Odds: +100
Probability: 59%
Projection: 13.1
Edge: 9.0%
Game: Hornets vs Cavaliers (7PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Hornets vs Cavaliers game, with Jarrett Allen showing value in the over rebounds prop market.
Over the course of the 23/24 season, Jarrett Allen has been able to average 10.7 rebounds per game. After only getting 22 minutes in last night’s game compared to his 31 minute average – our bot believes that he will come out on fire in tonight’s game grabbing every rebound possible. Just five days ago, Allen was able to get a total of 20 rebounds against the Heat, and 13 against the Timberwolves. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that against the Hornets, who struggle to defend their glass, Allen should be able to get the over as long as it doesn’t end up being a blowout game.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Jarrett Allen Over 11.5 Total Rebounds in tonight’s game, which gives us an exciting 9% edge on the +100 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. DERRICK WHITE OVER 14.5 POINTS (-115)
Odds: -115
Probability: 56.2%
Projection: 18.5
Edge: 8.9%
Game: Celtics vs Hawks (7PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Celtics vs Hawks game, with Derrick White showing value in the over points market. Without Jrue Holiday, White has been able to go over this line in all five of the games he has missed – with scores of, 16/17/21/21/23. Our model predicts that against the Hawks and without Holiday, White will be able to exceed this number. If you’re looking for a more risky play with better odds, Derrick White O 2.5 3-pointers made is a little more risky but still a solid play.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Derrick White Over 14.5 Points, with an edge of 8.9% at -115 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. KRISTAPS PORZINGIS OVER 19.5 POINTS (-114)
Odds: -114
Probability: 53.2%
Projection: 21.3
Edge: 8.6%
Game: Celtics vs Hawks (7PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Kristaps Porzingis in the Celtics vs Hawks showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Kristaps Porzingis Over 19.5 Points.
Over the course of the 2023/24 season Porzingis has averaged 20.3 points per game. Our model predicts that KP will be able to exceed this line tonight – projecting 21.3 total points. In Porzingis’ last matchup against the Hawks he was able to drop 31 points. Our model expects tonight to go a very similar way with Okongwu, Griffin and more being listed as OUT.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Kristaps Porzingis Over 19.5 Points, with a detected edge of 8.6% and -114 odds on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
Responsible Gambling
Our commitment lies in advocating for responsible wagering to ensure a secure and pleasurable experience for everyone involved. Engaging in sports betting responsibly is paramount. Establishing a budget, comprehending the odds, and staying informed about the legal framework in your area are essential steps. Trusted platforms such as FanDuel and BetMGM actively support responsible betting practices, offering valuable resources to help individuals manage their wagering activities in a safe manner.
How to Join BetMGM
Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.
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How to Join FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel offers a user-friendly platform tailored for newcomers to sports betting. It boasts a diverse selection of betting options, encompassing traditional choices such as point spreads and moneylines, along with an extensive range of prop bets. Moreover, FanDuel extends a generous welcome bonus, providing new users with a layup as they start their betting journey.
FanDuel Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.
DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
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