Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across tonight’s NBA slate. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has expertly pinpointed our best basketball bets for Friday, March 15, 2024.
1. TRE MANN OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+138)
Odds: +138
Probability: 60.9%
Projection: 2.6
Edge: 18.9%
Game: Suns vs Hornets (7PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Today, finding value in the total 3-pointers prop market. With our sights set on Tre Mann Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made in the Suns vs Hornets matchup. Mann has a season average of 1.3 3-pointers per game. When matched up against the Magic, the 4th best rated defensive team, Mann was able to sink 2/4 3-pointers. This leads our model to predict that against a Suns team who are worse defensively than Orlando, Mann should be able to exceed this number.
We recommend placing a wager on Tre Mann Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with an attractive edge of 18.9%, with +138 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
2. PAOLO BANCHERO OVER 23.5 POINTS (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 61.1%
Projection: 26.2
Edge: 14.3%
Game: Magic vs Raptors (7:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Magic vs Raptors game, with Paolo Banchero showing value in the total points prop market. With Banchero coming into tonight’s game averaging 22.9 points over his last 10, our Basketball Forever betting bot projects him to have 26.2 points tonight. Facing a Raptors team that has had significant trouble defensively in recent times, our model suspects Banchero will capitalize – getting access to open driving lanes from go-to-woah. In the last Magic vs Raptors matchup Banchero was able to log 25 points. We believe tonight’s game will end similarly.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Paolo Banchero Over 23.5 Points in tonight’s game, which gives us an 14.3% edge on the -104 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. IMMANUEL QUICKLEY OVER 23.5 POINTS (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 59.5%
Projection: 25.3
Edge: 12.3%
Game: Magic vs Raptors (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Immanuel Quickley in the Magic vs Raptors game. Showing value in the over points prop market, Quickley has a good chance at hitting the over tonight. In his past 5 games without RJ Barrett, Quickley has been able to score 25/8/24/29/and 25 points. Without Barrett, Quickley will be able to step in and play a crucial role offensively, and his shot attempts should ratchet up tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Immanuel Quickley Over 23.5 Points, with an edge of 12.3% at -104 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. CJ MCCOLLUM OVER 20.5 PTS+REBS (-108)
Odds: -108
Probability: 58.3%
Projection: 22.4%
Edge: 11.4
Game: Clippers vs Pelicans (8PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features CJ McCollum in the Clippers vs Pelicans. Our betting bot has found value in CJ McCollum Over 20.5 Pts+Rebs. Over the last two Clippers vs Pelicans matchups, McCollum was able to average a total of 18.5 points and 6.5 rebounds, averaging 25 Pts+Rebs against the Clips. This number should be too low for him tonight, too.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on CJ McCollum Over 20.5 Pts+Rebs, with a detected edge of 11.4% and odds at -108 on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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