We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best player bets for tonight.
1. IMMANUEL QUICKLEY UNDER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+105)
Odds: +105
Probability: 61.8%
Projection: 6.4
Edge: 14.2%
Game: Raptors vs Pistons (7PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Raptors vs Pistons matchup, with Immanuel Quickley showing value in the total assists market. Our model has narrowed down Immanuel Quickley under 8.5 assists as the best player bet for today. Our model predicts that Quickley will only get 6.4 assists in tonight’s game – leading to his line going under.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Immanuel Quickley Under 8.5 Total Assists at +105 odds and an attractive 14.2% edge through BetMGM Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. DE’AARON FOX OVER 28.5 POINTS (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 58.6%
Projection: 32.2
Edge: 10.3%
Game: Lakers vs Kings (10PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Lakers vs Kings game, with De’Aaron Fox showing value in the over points prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Fox has been able to average 27.1 points per game, and he’s coming off a 29 point performance against the Bucks last night. With the Lakers having an injury filled roster, including Davis being out and LeBron James listed as a GTD, there should be plenty of opportunities for Fox to hit this over. In their last three head-to-head matchups against the Lakers, Fox averages 36.3 points.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts De’Aaron Fox Over 28.5 Points in tonight’s game, which gives us a 10.3% edge on the -104 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. TYRESE HALIBURTON OVER 11.5 ASSISTS (-130)
Odds: -130
Probability: 59.3%
Projection: 13.1
Edge: 10.1%
Game: Bulls vs Pacers (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Bulls vs Pacers game, with Tyrese Haliburton showing value in the over assist market. Tyrese Haliburton averages 11.3 APG on the season – the best in the league, and has exceeded this number in three of his last five games. Tonight he runs into a Bulls team that allows the seven most assists per game against opponents. In their last two head-to-head games, Tyrese Haliburton was able to finish with 13 and 20 assists. Our model believes that this is a must have bet for tonight’s NBA slate with Haliburton projected to exceed this line.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Tyrese Haliburton Over 11.5 Assists, with an edge of 10.1% at -130 odds available on BetMGM Sportsbook.
4. FRANZ WAGNER OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-113)
Odds: -113
Probability: 52.3%
Projection: 4.4
Edge: 6.9%
Game: Nets vs Magic (7PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Franz Wagner in the Nets vs Magic showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Franz Wagner Over 3.5 Total Assists.
Over the course of the 2023/24 season Franz Wagner has averaged 3.9 assists per game. Our model predicts that Wagner will be able to exceed this line – predicting 4.4 total assists in tonight’s matchup. Over their last three games, Wagner has averaged 5 APG.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Franz Wagner Over 3.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 6.9% and -113 odds on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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Our commitment lies in advocating for responsible wagering to ensure a secure and pleasurable experience for everyone involved. Engaging in sports betting responsibly is paramount. Establishing a budget, comprehending the odds, and staying informed about the legal framework in your area are essential steps. Trusted platforms such as FanDuel and BetMGM actively support responsible betting practices, offering valuable resources to help individuals manage their wagering activities in a safe manner.
How to Join BetMGM
Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.
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How to Join FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel offers a user-friendly platform tailored for newcomers to sports betting. It boasts a diverse selection of betting options, encompassing traditional choices such as point spreads and moneylines, along with an extensive range of prop bets. Moreover, FanDuel extends a generous welcome bonus, providing new users with a layup as they start their betting journey.
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How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.
DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
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