Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across the NBA slate tonight. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best basketball player bets for tonight.
1. JAMAL MURRAY OVER 7.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+118)
Odds: +118
Probability: 62.4%
Projection: 9.7
Edge: 16.5%
Game: Raptors vs Nuggets (9PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Today, finding value in the total assists prop market. With our sights set on Jamal Murray Over 7.5 Total Assists in the Raptors vs Nuggets matchup. Murray has a season average of 6.5 assists per game. Up against a Raptors team with limited defensive prowess, our model predicts that Murray will hit the over in assists tonight. Over his last 5 games he’s covered this line 3/5 times, and with one of the games only being one assist off from tonight’s number. Our basketball Forever betting bot predicts Murray will be moving the ball around tonight looking for openings in the Raptors defense.
We recommend placing a wager on Jamal Murray Over 7.5 Total Assists, with an attractive edge of 16.5%, with +118 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
2. NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 9.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 61.1%
Projection: 11.5
Edge: 13.4%
Game: Raptors vs Nuggets (9PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Raptors vs Nuggets game, with Nikola Jokic showing value in the total assist prop market. With Jokic coming into tonight’s game averaging 10.2 assists over his last 10, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that Jokic will exceed the over ending the game with a projected 11.5 assists. As stated in the rationale above, the Raptors are known to struggle defensively. This will leave Jokic with plenty of opportunities to get 10 or more assists tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an 13.4% edge on the -104 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-105)
Odds: -111
Probability: 59.3%
Projection: 6.1
Edge: 9.9%
Game: Suns vs Cavaliers (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Kevin Durant in the Suns vs Cavaliers game. Showing value in the assist prop market, KD has a good chance at hitting the over tonight. Averaging 5.5 assists this season and with our model projecting 6.1 assists by the end of the game we believe this is a must have bet for tonight’s slate.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Kevin Durant Over 4.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 9.9% at -105 odds available on BetMGM Sportsbook.
4. DEMAR DEROZAN OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+102)
Odds: +102
Probability: 57%
Projection: 6.7
Edge: 5.5%
Game: Mavericks vs Bulls (8PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features DeMar DeRozan in the Mavericks vs Bulls showdown. Our betting bot has found value in DeMar DeRozan Over 5.5 Total Assists. Over his last 10 games DeRozan has been able to average a total of 6.1 assists – racking up seven in the last Mavericks vs Bulls showdown. Our Basketball Forever betting bot believes that DeRozan’s assist line is set a little low tonight.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on DeMar DeRozan Over 5.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 5.5% and odds at +102 on BetMGM Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.
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