We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best player bets for tonight.
1. KELLY OLYNYK OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS
Odds: +115
Probability: 65.8%
Projection: 8.5
Edge: 19.2%
Game: Raptors vs Suns (9PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Raptors vs Suns matchup, with Kelly Olynyk showing value in the total assists market. Our model has narrowed down Kelly Olynyk over 5.5 assists as the best player bet for today. Our model predicts that Olynyk will exceed the 5.5 assist line set, predicting a total of 8.5 assists.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Kelly Olynyk Over 5.5 Total Assists at +115 odds and an attractive 19.2% edge through BetMGM Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+100)
Odds: +100
Probability: 66.1%
Projection: 11.6
Edge: 16.1%
Game: Spurs vs Kings (10PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Spurs vs Kings game, with Domantas Sabonis showing value in the over assists prop market.
With Sabonis averaging 8.4APG in the 2023/24 season, this line is a little low. Our bot actually projects Sabonis to rack up 11.6 assists tonight. Tonight marks the third game that the Spurs and Kings will face off against each other. In the last two matchups Sabonis was able to walk out with an average of 9 assists. Having an average of 9.7 over the last 10 games leads our model to believe that Sabonis’s assist line is set low and will be exceeded in tonight’s matchup.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Domantas Sabonis Over 8.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an exciting 16.1% edge on the +100 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. DRAYMOND GREEN OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+120)
Odds: +120
Probability: 60.1%
Projection: 7.3
Edge: 14.6%
Game: Bulls vs Warriors (10PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Bulls vs Warriors game, with Draymond Green showing value in the over assist market. Draymond Green averages 5.8 APG on the season, and has exceeded this number in three of his last five. The Bulls are pretty porous defensively, and with Steph and Klay as outlets for Green – he just needs an ok shooting night from his troops to cover this number. Our model predicts that he will finish the game with 7.3 assists.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Draymond Green Over 5.5 Assists, with an edge of 14.6% at +120 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. JEREMY SOCHAN OVER 2.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+100)
Odds: +100
Probability: 62.8%
Projection: 4.8
Edge: 12.8%
Game: Spurs vs Kings (10PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Jeremy Sochan in the Spurs vs Kings showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Jeremy Sochan Over 2.5 Total Assists.
Over the course of the 2023/24 season Jeremy Sochan averages 3.4 assists per game. Our model predicts that Sochan will be able to exceed this line – predicting 4.8 total assists in tonight’s matchup.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Jeremy Sochan Over 2.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 12.8% and +100 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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