Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across the NBA slate tonight. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best basketball player bets for tonight.
1. PAOLO BANCHERO OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+115)
Odds: +115
Probability: 59.1%
Projection: 7.1
Edge: 12.6%
Game: Magic vs Wizards (7PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Today, finding value in the total assists prop market. With our sights set on Paolo Banchero Over 5.5 Total Assists in the Magic vs Wizards matchup. Banchero has a season average of 6.8 assists per game. Up against a Wizards team with basically zero defensive prowess, our model predicts that Banchero will hit the over in assists tonight. Over their last three head-to-head matchups, Banchero was able to average a total of 6.3 assists per game, along with 19pts. We predict that he will be able to move the ball around a lot tonight looking for the best scoring matchups.
We recommend placing a wager on Paolo Banchero Over 5.5 Total Assists, with an attractive edge of 12.6%, with +115 odds available on BetMGM Sportsbook.
2. DOMANTAS SABONIS UNDER 13.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+108)
Odds: +108
Probability: 59.5%
Projection: 11.8
Edge: 11.4%
Game: Kings vs Lakers (10:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Kings vs Lakers game, with Domantas Sabonis showing value in the total rebounds prop market. The Kings are up against a Lakers team with a roster thats suffering from injuries, with two of the Lakers star players, Lebron and Davis, listed as GTD. In order for Sabonis to go under total rebounds, we need Davis to play in tonight’s matchup.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Domantas Sabonis Under 13.5 Total Rebounds in tonight’s game, which gives us an 11.4%% edge on the +108 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. COLLIN SEXTON OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-110)
Odds: -110
Probability: 58.3%
Projection: 7
Edge: 10.7%
Game: Bulls vs Jazz (9PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Collin Sexton in the Bulls vs Jazz game. In the months of February and March Sexton has been able to average 5.5 and 6 assists per game. With injuries affecting the Jazz’s roster, Sexton is going to have to step up and move the ball around to the best possible scoring matchups. Being one of the only two starters not injured, Sexton will have to become an integral part of the Jazz’z offense.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Collin Sexton Over 5.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 10.7% at -110 odds available on BetMGM Sportsbook.
4. GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+105)
Odds: +105
Probability: 64.6%
Projection: 9.2
Edge: 15.9%
Game: Bucks vs Warriors (10PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Giannis Antetokounmpo in the Bucks vs Warriors showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Total Assists. Going into tonight’s game the Bucks are looking to extend their 6 game win streak to 7. Throughout the season Giannis has averaged 6.3 assists per game. With Damian Lillard shooting the ball better of late, we can expect to see him exceed this line. Our model predicts Giannis to have 9.2 assists by the time the final whistle blows in the 4th.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 15.9% and odds at +105 on BetMGM Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.
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DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
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