Another day of NBA basketball is among us. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for today’s NBA slate. (2/28) We love offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions
1. KYLE KUZMA OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+128)
Odds: +128
Probability: 66.7%
Projection: 6.8
Edge: 22.8%
Game: Wizards vs Jazz (9PM EST)
The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Salt Lake City where the Wizards vs Jazz get ready to face off. The Wizards are up against a shorthanded Jazz team, missing their All-star Lauri Markkanen. With a lack of frontcourt defence outside of big-man Walker Kessler, expect the Wizards offense to flow a little more freely. Averaging 4 assists per game this season, and 5 against the Jazz – our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Kuzma will cover this number tonight.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Kyle Kuzma Over 3.5 Assists with attractive +128 odds through Fanduel Sportsbook. We have found a 22.8% edge making this our best player prop bet of the day.
2. GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+100)
Odds: +100
Probability: 63.3%
Projection: 8.9
Edge: 13.3%
Game: Clippers vs Bucks (8PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Clippers vs Bucks game, with Giannis Antetokounmpo showing value in the over assists prop market. Giannis has been on a tear recently, and now averages 30.8 points, 11.3 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game on the season. The Bucks are going into tonight’s game on a five-game win streak and are looking to keep the ball rolling against a championship contending Clippers team. Our model predicts that Giannis will be able to exceed this line, with it predicting a total of 8.9 assists in tonight’s match.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us a 13.3% edge on the +100 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. KARL-ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+132)
Odds: +132
Probability: 56%
Projection: 3
Edge: 12.9%
Game: Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves (8PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found another +EV NBA player prop bet, with our sights set on Karl-Anthony Towns in the Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves matchup. Towns has been elite from behind the arc this season hitting 42.7% of the 3-point shots that he takes. With an average of 2.3 3-pointers made per game this season, our model predicts that Towns will have over 2.5 3-pointers made in tonight’s match. Facing a Trail Blazers team that has been struggling defensively, anticipate the big-man from Minnesota to bomb away from beyond tonight.
We recommend placing a bet on Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 12.9% available at +132 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 31.5 POINTS SCORED (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 58.5%
Projection: 35.7
Edge: 7.5
Game: Thunder vs Lakers (10:30PM EST)
The last NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in Tonight’s Thunder vs Lakers game, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander showing value in the over points prop market. SGA is averaging 31.5 ppg on the season, and had 35 last night in a win against Phoenix. He has also covered this number in three of his last five. Against a porous Lakers backcourt, he should be able to get any look he wants tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points Scored in tonight’s game, which gives us a 7.5% edge on the -104 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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