We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best player bets for tonight.
1. TOBIAS HARRIS OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+128)
Odds: +128
Probability: 55.9%
Projection: 4.6
Edge: 12.4%
Game: Hornets vs 76ers (7Pm EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Hornets vs 76ers matchup, with Tobias Harris showing value in total assists. Our model has narrowed down Tobias Harris over 3.5 assists as the best player bet for today. In the 76ers last two matchups against the Hornets, Harris was able to come out with an average of 5 assists per game. Considering how the Hornets have been on a downward spiral this season, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that Harris will be able to exceed this line, especially in the case of it not being a blowout.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Tobias Harris Over 3.5 Total Assists at +128 odds and an attractive 12.4% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+115)
Odds: +115
Probability: 57.8%
Projection: 7.9
Edge: 12.4%
Game: Bucks vs Bulls (10PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Bucks vs Bulls game, with Giannis Antetokounmpo showing value in the over assists prop market.
With Antetokounmpo averaging 6.3APG in the 2023/24 season, this line is a little low. Our bot actually projects Antetokounmpo to rack up 7.9 assists tonight. In the Bucks last two games, Giannis hasn’t played down the stretch owing to the massive leads Milwaukee had in back to back matchups against Charlotte. Expect tonight to be a little more competitive, and for the Greek Freak to get dishing!
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an exciting 12.4% edge on the +115 odds currently available at BetMGM Sportsbook.
3. ANDREW NEMBHARD OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-110)
Odds: -110
Probability: 63.3%
Projection: 5.9
Edge: 12.1
Game: Pacers vs Pelicans (8PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Pacers vs Pelicans game, with Andrew Nembhard showing value in the over assist market. This will be a pretty evenly matched game, and minutes should be on par with regular season averages. The Pacers combo guard averages 4.4 APG this season, and our model predicts Nembhard’s over assists number as one of our top bets for tonight’s NBA slate.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Andrew Nembhard Over 3.5 Assists, with an edge of 12.1% at -110 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 29.5 POINTS SCORED (-105)
Odds: -105
Probability: 61%
Projection: 35.1
Edge: 9.8%
Game: Bucks vs Bulls (10PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Giannis Antetokounmpo in the Bucks vs Bulls showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 Points Scored.
As mentioned in the rationale above, Giannis didn’t get as much playing time in his last two matchups against the Hornets because of the extreme leads they had. Because of this, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that Giannis will pop off fresh against the Bulls, with a predicted 35 points by the end of the game.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 Points Scored, with a detected edge of 9.8% and -105 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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