Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across the NBA slate tonight. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best basketball bets for tonight.
1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 Total Steals (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 66.4%
Projection: 2.8
Edge: 15.4%
Game: Thunder vs Spurs (8:30PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Today, Finding value in the total steals prop market. With our sights set on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 1.5 total steals in the Thunder vs Spurs matchup. The Thunder are up against a Spurs team that has had trouble defensively in recent weeks, losing their last five games and having an average of 8.6 turnovers per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.1 spg this season. In their last two games against each other, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged a mammoth 4.5 steals per game . Our basketball forever getting bot believe that this line is set a lot lower than what it should be, leading our model to predict the over hitting.
We recommend placing a wager on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 Total Steals, with a huge edge of 15.4% making this our best player bet of the day, with -104 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
2. Bam Adebayo Over 3.5 Assists (+114)
Odds: +114
Probability: 59.9%
Projection: 72.%
Edge: 13.1%
Game: Heat vs Nuggets (10PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Heat vs Nuggets game, with Bam Adebayo showing value in the over assists prop market. The Heat are up against a Nuggets team that has big frontcourt size, forcing Adebayo to turn into more of a passer tonight. He has an average of 4.1 assists per game, and his matchup tonight suggests he’ll cover this number. This leads our Basketball Forever betting bot to believe that against a more sound defensive team, Adebayo will be forced to move the ball more leading to the over in assists.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Bam Adebayo Over 3.5 Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an 13.1% edge on the +114 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-113)
Odds: -113
Probability: 63.5%
Projection: 10
Edge: 10.9%
Game: Wizards vs Lakers (10:30PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features LeBron James in the Wizards vs Lakers game. Lebron has been able to exceed the over in the last 4/5 games that he’s played, averaging 7.9APG this season. Facing a Wizards team that struggles defensively, and on a 12-game losing streak, we can expect LeBron to move the ball to teammates with more favorable scoring matchups.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on LeBron James Over 7.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 10.9% at -113 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. ANTHONY DAVIS OVER 26.5 POINTS SCORED (-111)
Odds: -108
Probability: 60.1%
Projection: 31.1
Edge: 6.9%
Game: Wizards vs Lakers (10:30PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Anthony Davis in the Wizards vs Lakers showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Anthony Davis over 26.5 points scored.
As mentioned above, the Lakers are facing a Washington team who have been struggling defensively this season. AD should absolutely feast against a woeful Wizards frontcourt.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Anthony Davis Over 26.5 Points Scored, with a detected edge of 6.9% and odds at -111 on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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