Today brings us another exciting day of NBA basketball matchups. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for February 26, 2024, NBA slate. We take great pride in offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions.
1. DE’AARON FOX OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+135)
Odds: +135
Probability: 62.1%
Projection: 3.4
Edge: 19.3%
Game: Heat vs. Kings (10PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Monday’s NBA, with our sights set on De’Aaron Fox in the Heat vs. Kings matchup. With injuries and suspensions plaguing the Heat’s roster (Rozier is out, both Herro and Robinson are day to day, and Butler is suspended), the Heat are expected to struggle defensively in tonight’s matchup. The Kings, especially Fox are expected to take advantage of this, moving the ball more and taking more shots from behind the arc on the second night of a b2b. With an average of 7.7 3-point attempts per game, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Fox will make over 3 3-pointers.
We recommend placing a bet on De’Aaron Fox Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 19.3% available at +135 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 9.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+114)
Odds: +116
Probability: 63.8%
Projection: 11.7
Edge: 17.1%
Game: Miami vs. Kings (10PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Miami vs. Kings game, with Domantas Sabonis showing value in the total assist prop market. Playing against the Heat, with an already thin roster, Sabonis has plenty of opportunity to exploit this number. He has been able to cover the over in seven of his last ten outings – 10.5 average apg. He had 13 assists in their last game against the Heat.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Domantas Sabonis Over 9.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an exciting 17.1%% edge on the +116 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. TYLER HERRO OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-115)
Odds: -115
Probability: 61.2%
Projection: 3.6
Edge: 7.7%
Game: Miami vs. Kings (10PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for NBA Monday features Tyler Herro in the Miami vs. Kings game. Herro has been able to exceed the over in the last 4/5 games that he’s played – averaging 7.6 3-point attempts per game. With many players on Miami’s roster being out, day to day or suspended, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Herro to be Miami’s hero, making 3 3-pointers in tonight’s game. With an average of 2.9 3-pointers made per game, and a prediction of 3.6 in tonight’s matchup, our model believes that this is a no brainer player prop bet.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Tyler Herro Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 7.7% at -115 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. T.J. MCCONNELL OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+115)
Odds: +115
Probability: 59.9%
Projection: 7.3
Edge: 9.9%
Game: Raptors vs. Pacers (7PM EST)
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for NBA Monday features T.J. McConnell in the Raptors vs. Pacers showdown. Our betting bot has found value in McConnell’s total assists line. His average assists per game ties the 5.5 total offered on BetMGM, exceeding this line in the last 3/5 games, getting 6 assists the last time they faced off (2/14). Sharing ball handling duties with Haliburton, you can expect Indiana’s backup PG to continue his strong playmaking of late in a pretty favorable matchup tonight.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on T.J. McConnell Over 5.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 9.9% and odds at +115 on BetMGM Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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How to Join BetMGM
Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.
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How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook
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DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
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