Today brings us another exciting day of NBA basketball matchups. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for February 23, 2024, NBA slate. We went 4-1 last night with our player props, and we love offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions.
1. DRAYMOND GREEN O6.5 AST
Odds: +110
Probability: 9.4
Projection:
Edge: 18.5%
Game: Hornets vs. Warriors (10PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Today, with our sights set on Draymond Green over 6.5 assists in the Hornets vs. Warriors matchup. Facing a Hornets team that has had trouble defensively in recent weeks, Green should be able to exploit this tonight, looking for favorable scoring matchups for Curry, Klay and BP – leading to the over in his assists.
We recommend placing a wager on Draymond Green O6.5 AST, with a huge edge of 18.5% making this our best player bet of the day, with +110 odds available on BetMGM Sportsbook.
2. CHET HOLMGREN OVER 15.5 POINTS
Odds: -105
Probability: 60.4
Projection: 20.7
Edge: 9.2%
Game: Wizards vs. Thunder (8PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Wizards vs. Thunder game, with Chet Holmgren showing value in the over points prop market. In the last Wizards vs. Thunder matchup, Holmgren dropped 31 points, compared to the 15.5 line for tonight’s game. With the Thunder matching up against a Wizards team that has recently been struggling on both sides of the ball (especially against opposing bigs), our model predicts that Holmgren will be able to cover this number with ease, assuming no major blowout.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Chet Holmgren Over 15.5 Points in tonight’s game, which gives us an 9.2% edge on the -105 odds currently available at BetMGM Sportsbook.
3. DEVIN BOOKER OVER 6.5 ASSISTS
Odds: +106
Probability: 58.4%
Projection: 8
Edge: 10.3%
Game: Suns vs. Rockets (8PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Devin Booker in the Suns vs. Rockets game. Booker has been able to exceed the over in the last 4/5 games that he’s played, with an average of 7APG this season. Facing a Rockets team that struggles defensively, losing seven of their last 10 games, we can expect Booker to move the ball to teammates with more favorable scoring matchups. Our betting bot predicts Booker will be feeding all night.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Devin Booker Over 6.5 AST, with an edge of 10.3% at +106 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. ZION WILLIAMSON OVER 5.5 ASSISTS
Odds: +110
Probability: 58.2%
Projection: 6.8
Edge: 10.6
Game: Heat vs. Pelicans
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Zion Williamson in the Heat vs. Pelicans showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Zion Williamson Over 5.5 Assists.
The Pelicans are trying to keep their four game winning streak alive – and point Zion has been slowly re-emerging. He has averaged 7.1 assists over the last five games, and our betting bot is predicting this trend to continue – projecting him to have 6.8AST in tonight’s matchup.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Zion Williamson Over 5.5 Assists, with a detected edge of 10.6% and odds at +110 on Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.
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How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.
DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
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