Wizards to Cover the Spread?

Another day of NBA betting has arrived, and we’re here to provide you with our top picks for Friday’s NBA basketball matchups. Our Basketball Forever betting bot has run thousands of simulations on each game today, selecting our top bets for Friday, February 22, 2024.


1. WIZARDS +15.5

Odds: -105
Probability: 58.9%
Edge: 7.7
Game: Wizards vs. Thunder (8PM EST)

The best bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered takes us to Oklahoma City where the Wizards and Thunder get ready to face off. In the Wizards last 4/5 games, they were able to cover this spread, only failing to do so in last night’s Nuggets game where they came up just shy of covering. Both sides are on the second half of a back-to-back, and this number is a little too large.

The play here is Wizards +15.5 with attractive odds of -105 through BetMGM Sportsbook. Our model has identified an edge of 7.7% for this particular wager, making it our best bet of the day.

2. TORONTO VS. ATLANTA UNDER 245.5 POINTS

Odds: -110
Probability: 56.3%
Edge: 3.8%
Game: Toronto vs. Atlanta (7:30PM EST)

Our Model has determined one of the best NBA bets for Friday’s game slate, setting its sights on the matchup between Toronto vs. Atlanta. Our Basketball forever betting bot has pinpointed Toronto vs. Atlanta Under 245.5 points as a prime bet for today’s NBA slate. Coming off a 121-93 point win in last nights game against the Nets, ending their three game losing streak – we can expect the Raptors to take the court tonight with a lot of energy looking to kickstart a post ASG win-streak. When it comes to the Hawks, they haven’t played a game in nine days so they’re expected to be very well rested and to come out tonight playing hard on both sides of the ball.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Toronto vs. Atlanta Under 245.5 Points, at -110 odds currently on BetMGM Sportsbook.

3. WIZARDS VS. THUNDER UNDER 241.5 POINTS

Odds: -105
Probability: 55%
Edge: 3.8%
Game: Wizards vs. Thunder (8PM EST)

In our third best bet today we’re headed back out to Oklahoma City for the Wizards vs. Thunder matchup. Our Basketball Forever betting bot has determined that Wizards vs. Thunder Under 241.5 Points is one of the best bets for today’s slate. The Wizards are on the second night of a back-to-back, fresh off a demolition job at the hands of the Denver Nuggets in the Mile High City. Our betting bot predicts that weary legs will hinder both sides (after OKC’s slugfest with the Clips), and the point total leans under as a result.

Our model recommends placing a wager on Wizards vs. Thunder Under 241.5 Points, currently at -105 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.8%.

4. HORNETS ML

Odds: +600
Probability: 16.1%
Edge: 2.1%
Game: Hornets vs. Warriors (10PM EST)

Lastly, we’re looking at the Hornets vs. Warriors. In this matchup our Basketball Forever betting bot has its eyes on Hornets ML, coming in at +610 odds. The Warriors have been sneaky good over their last five, above league average offensively, and playing the best defence of their season. With the Warriors on the second half of a back-to-back, all you need is the Dubs’ to let the foot off the pedal for a possible underdog win tonight.

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Our model recommends placing a small sprinkle on Hornets ML with a tasty +610 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook. We have found a 2.1% edge on this particular wager.

 

What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?

An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.

Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.

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