Best Bet: Can Damian Lillard Get Over 6.5 Assists Tonight?

Today brings us another exciting day of NBA basketball matchups. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for February 15, 2024, NBA slate. We love offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions.


1. DAMIAN LILLARD OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+115)

Odds: +115
Probability: 52.4%
Projection: 6.9
Edge: 5.2%
Game: Bucks vs. Grizzlies (8:30PM ET)

The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Thursdays NBA, with our sights set on Damian Lillard in the Bucks vs. Grizzlies matchup. Facing a Grizzlies team that has been up-and-down defensively this year, Lillard should be able to exploit a favorable front court match-up to feed his teammates all night.

We recommend placing a bet on Damian Lillard Over 6.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 5.2% available on the +115 odds available on BetMGM Sportsbook.

2. KARL-ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+126)

Odds: (+126)
Probability: 53.6%
Projection: 2.8
Edge: 9.4%
Game: Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers (10PM ET)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers game, with Karl-Anthony Towns showing value in the 3-pointers made prop market. Defensively, the Trail Blazers have struggled all year. They matchup poorly against opposing big men who have range, and they run into the worst possible matchup for that tonight in KAT – who is connecting on 44% of his 5.2 attempts per game. We love his chance of hitting 3+ tonight.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-pointers made in tonight’s game, which give us an exciting 9.4% edge on the +126 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.

3. STEPHEN CURRY O5.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+116)

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Odds: +116
Probability: 57.3%
Projection: 6.2
Edge: 11%
Game: Warriors vs. Jazz (9PM ET)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for NBA Tuesday features Steph Curry in the Warriors vs. Jazz game. Curry has been able to exceed the over in the last 4/5 games that he’s played – and last night became the first player in NBA history to hit 7+ threes in four straight games. With the Jazz letting Curry get off 16 3-point shots in their last matchup, our betting bot predicts that he will be able to stay hot and clear the over.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Stephen Curry o5.5 3-pointers made, with an edge of 11% at +124 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.

4. GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 3.5 TOTAL TURNOVERS (+100)

Odds: +100
Probability: 62.9%
Projection: 4.6
Edge: 12.9
Game: Bucks vs. Grizzlies (8:30PM ET)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for NBA Thursday features Giannis Antetokounmpo in the Bucks vs. Grizzlies showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Antetokounmpo’s TO line. His average turnovers per game exceeds the 3.5 total offered on BetMGM, and with defensive juggernaught Jaren Jackson Jr likely to be a menace as a help defender down low – Our betting bot predicts that he will end up going over this number, and quite comfortably at that – ending at a predicted total of 4.6 turnovers.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Giannis Antetokounmpo over 3.5 total turnovers, with a detected edge of 12.9% and odds at +100 on BetMGM Sportsbook.

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