We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player props and bets for tonight’s NBA slate. (5/20)
PLAYER PROPS
1. STEPHON CASTLE OVER 5.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+118)
Odds: +118
Probability: 52.7%
Projection: 6
Edge: 6.8%
Game: Spurs vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Spurs vs Thunder matchup – with Stephon Castle showing value in the total rebounds made prop market. Our model has narrowed down Stephon Castle Over 5.5 Total Rebounds as the best player bet for today. Castle’s rebounding has been solid throughout his last five matches, exceeding this number in 3/5 of his most recent matchups, showing 6/11/4/6/4 in each. Our model suspects that after exceeding this number against the Thunder in the first game of the series, he’ll be able to do it again tonight, with our model projecting a total of 6 rebounds made by the end of the game.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Stephon Castle Over 5.5 Total Rebounds at +118 odds and an attractive 6.8% edge, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 7.5 ASSISTS (+107)
Odds: +107
Probability: 53.3%
Projection: 8.4
Edge: 5.6%
Game: Spurs vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Spurs vs Thunder game, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander showing value in the total assists made prop market.
So far this postseason, SGA has been able to hold an average of 7.7 assists made per game. Throughout his most recent games, SGA has been moving the ball well, recording 12/8/9/2/6 assists made in each matchup. With SGA exceeding this line in 3/5 most recent matchups, finishing with 12 total assists in the first round of the conference finals, our model has a high degree of confidence in this wager. Our model predicts that he will be moving the ball to the best scoring matchup, leading to assists made. We are projecting SGA to finish tonight’s game with a total of 8.4 assists made, giving our model confidence in this wager.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us a 5.6% edge on the +107 odds.
3. ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 4.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (-102)
Odds: -102
Probability: 61.2%
Projection: 6.5
Edge: 10.7%
Game: Spurs vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 Total Rebounds in the Spurs vs Thunder matchup. Hartenstein has been playing well so far throughout the playoffs, averaging a total of 8 REB per game. Over the course of his last 5 matchups, Hartenstein has exceeded this particular number in 4/5 games, showing 2/10/9/9/9 rebounds made in each. Although falling short in their first match against the Spurs, our model believes he’ll be able to bounce back tonight with our Basketball Forever betting bot projecting him to finish tonight’s game with a total of 6.5 rebounds made. After exceeding this line in 4/5 most recent matchups, our model predicts Hartenstein will exceed his line tonight and finish with a total of 6.5 rebounds made.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 Total Rebounds, with an edge of 10.7% at -102 odds.
BEST BETS
1. SPURS +6.5 (-110)
Odds: -110
Probability: 55.1%
Edge: 3.4%
Game: Spurs vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Spurs vs Thunder matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Spurs +6.5 is a solid wager. Throughout the Spurs’ last 5 matchups, they were able to hold off the other teams, covering this particular line in 5/5 matchups. Our model predicts the Spurs will be able to limit the Thunder’s easy buckets, allowing the Spurs to keep tonight’s game close. With the Spurs able to cover this number in 5/6 of their head-to-head matchups in both the regular and postseason, we believe this is a solid wager to have for tonight.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Spurs +6.5. With -110 odds and a 3.4% edge, this is our best bet of the day.