Best NBA Player Prop Bets 4/14/26

Best

Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across the NBA slate tonight. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best basketball player prop bets for tonight.


1. TYLER HERRO OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+185)

Odds: +185
Probability: 44%
Projection: 4.7
Edge: 8.9%
Game: Heat vs Hornets (7:30PM EST)

The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a solid bet for today, finding value in the total assists made prop market. With our sights set on Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Total Assists in the Heat vs Hornets matchup. So far this season Herro is averaging 4.8 AST per game. Over his last five games he’s exceeded this number in three games showing 8/4/6/7/3 AST in each. Our model is projecting Herro to finish tonight’s game with a total of 4.7 assists made, giving our model confidence in this wager. We believe Herro will have ample time to exceed this line.

We recommend placing a wager on Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Total Assists, with an attractive edge of 8.9%, with +185 odds.

2. DENI AVDIJA OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+102)

Odds: +102
Probability: 57.3%
Projection: 7.8
Edge: 7.8%
Game: Trail Blazers vs Suns (10PM EST)

The next best NBA Player Prop Bets our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Trail Blazers vs Suns game, with Deni Avdija showing value in the total assists made prop market. Our Basketball Forever Betting bot predicts that Avdija will have a lot of opportunities to move the ball to the best possible scoring matchup, leading to assists made. After exceeding this particular number in 3/5 of his most recent matchups, our model is predicting Avdija to finish tonight’s game with 7.8 assists made. Between his past games and his projection for tonight, our model has a high degree of confidence in this wager.

Related Article:  Best NBA Bets 4/10/26

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Deni Avdija Over 6.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us a 7.8% edge on the +102 odds.

3. MARK WILLIAMS OVER 11.5 POINTS SCORED (+120)

Odds: +120
Probability: 52.8%
Projection: 12.8
Edge: 7.3%
Game: Trail Blazers vs Suns (10PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Mark Williams Over 11.5 Points Scored in the Trail Blazers vs Suns matchup. Larsson has been able to hold an average of 15 PTS per game when matched up against the Suns. Throughout his last 5 games, Larsson was able to rack up 7/19/14/12/10 points in each. With our model projecting a total of 12.8 points by the end of the game, we believe this is a solid wager to have for tonight.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Mark Williams Over 11.5 Points Scored, with an edge of 7.3% at +120 odds.

READ MORE: Luka Doncic Set for U.S. Return After Treatment in Europe

-->