Best NBA Player Prop Bets 11/4/24

NBA

We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player prop bets for tonight’s NBA slate. (11/4)


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TODAYS TOP 5 VOAT PICKS

1. KEVIN DURANT OVER 2+ 3PM

2. BRANDON INGRAM OVER 6+ AST

3. PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 7+ REB

4. RUSSELL WESTBROOK OVER 2+ TO

5. JAMES HARDEN UNDER 23+ PTS


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1. GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 29.5 POINTS SCORED (-109)

Odds: -109
Probability: 63.4%
Projection: 36.6
Edge: 11.3%
Game: Bucks vs Cavaliers (7PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Bucks vs Cavaliers matchup – with Giannis Antetokounmpo showing value in the total points prop market. Giannis is averaging 34PPG this season, and carrying a listless Bucks team on his back. He should fill it up tonight, too. Our model recommends placing a wager on Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 Points Scored at -109 odds and an attractive 11.3% edge.


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2. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+120)

Odds: +120
Probability: 64%
Projection: 9.1
Edge: 18.6%
Game: Kings vs Heat (8:15PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Kings vs Heat game, with Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Total Assists prop market.

Over the course of the 24/25 season Domantas Sabonis is averaging 6.3APG. He gets a favourable matchup against a porous Heat team tonight, and our model projects him racking up just under nine dimes.

Related Article:  Best NBA Player Props 12/20/24

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us a 18.5% edge on the +120 odds.


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3. NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 12.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+114)

Odds: +114
Probability: 62.5%
Projection: 14.8
Edge: 15.8%
Game: Raptors vs Nuggets (10PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Raptors vs Nuggets game, with Nikola Jokic showing value in the total rebounds market. Throughout the 24/25 season, Jokic is averaging 12.3RPG, and he gets a great matchup against Toronto tonight. It should be an offense-laden up and down game, with Jokic taking the ball off the glass and leading the break from go-to-woah.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Total Rebounds, with an edge of 15.8% at +114 odds.


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4. KARL-ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-130)

Odds: -130
Probability: 69.2%
Projection: 3.6
Edge: 12.7%
Game: Knicks vs Rockets (8:45PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Karl-Anthony Towns in the Knicks vs Rockets showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made. KAT is averaging 2.2 threes per game on the year, and he has been on a heater through his last three contests. The volume will be there for him to take 7-8 threes tonight, and with the way he is shooting the ball currently, this is a great play.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with a detected edge of 12.7% and -130 odds.


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