NBA Best Player Prop Bets (3/21/24)

NBA

Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across the NBA slate tonight. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best basketball player bets for tonight.


1. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+110)

Odds: +110
Probability: 67.2%
Projection: 11.9
Edge: 19.6%
Game: Kings vs Wizards (7PM EST)

The Basketball Forever betting bot has found a +EV bet for Today, finding value in the total assists prop market. With our sights set on Domantas Sabonis Over 8.5 Total Assists in the Kings vs Wizards matchup. Sabonis has a season average of 8.3 assists per game. In the Kings last matchup against the Wizards, Sabonis was able to end the game with 12 dimes. Up against a Wizards team with basically zero defensive prowess, our model predicts that Sabonis will cover this number tonight.

We recommend placing a wager on Domantas Sabonis Over 8.5 Total Assists, with an attractive edge of19.6%, with +110 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.

2. Malik Monk Over 5.5 Total Assists (+124)

Odds: +124
Probability: 59.9%
Projection: 7.2
Edge: 15.2%
Game: Kings vs Wizards (7PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Kings vs Wizards game, with Malik Monk showing value in the total assist prop market. The Kings are up against a Wizards team who are the worst ranking team in the league. On the defensive side of the floor the Wizards have a hard time limiting opponents points per game. With a season average of 5.3APG, Monk should be able to cover to his line tonight – particularly with his minutes going up with blowout potential. Monk finished with 6 assists last time these two met.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Malik Monk Over 5.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an 15.2% edge on the +124 odds currently available at Draftkings Sportsbook.

3. JORDAN POOLE OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+128)

Odds: +128
Probability: 53.7%
Projection: 2.8
Edge: 9.9%
Game: Kings vs Wizards (7PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Jordan Poole Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made in the Kings vs Wizards. Over the last five games Poole has been able to average a total of 3 3-pointers made per game alone with an average of 3 in the month of march. In their last game against the Kings, Poole went 8-13 from deep.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Jordan Poole Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 9.9% at +128 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.

4. Amen Thompson Over 13.5 Points (+102)

Odds: +102
Probability: 51.3%
Projection: 16.2
Edge: 8.7%
Game: Bulls vs Rockets (8PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Amen Thompson in the Bulls vs Rockets showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Amen Thompson Over 13.5 Points.  Recently, the Bulls have been letting up the most points to small forwards in the league with an average of 21.3PPG. Our Model predicts Thompson to go over his 13.5 point line – projecting a total of 16.2 points.

Related Article:  Best NBA Player Prop Bets 12/23/24

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Amen Thompson Over 13.5 Points, with a detected edge of 16.2% and odds at +102 on Fanduel Sportsbook.

 

What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?

An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.

Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.

 

Responsible Gambling

Our commitment lies in advocating for responsible wagering to ensure a secure and pleasurable experience for everyone involved. Engaging in sports betting responsibly is paramount. Establishing a budget, comprehending the odds, and staying informed about the legal framework in your area are essential steps. Trusted platforms such as FanDuel and BetMGM actively support responsible betting practices, offering valuable resources to help individuals manage their wagering activities in a safe manner.

 

How to Join BetMGM

Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.

 


 

BetMGM Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, and WY. 

 

How to Join FanDuel Sportsbook

FanDuel offers a user-friendly platform tailored for newcomers to sports betting. It boasts a diverse selection of betting options, encompassing traditional choices such as point spreads and moneylines, along with an extensive range of prop bets. Moreover, FanDuel extends a generous welcome bonus, providing new users with a layup as they start their betting journey.

 


 

FanDuel Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.

 

How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.

 


 

DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.

 

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