Another week of NBA betting has arrived, and we’re here to provide you with our top picks for Monday’s NBA basketball matchups. Our Basketball Forever betting bot has run thousands of simulations on each game today, selecting our top player bets for Monday, March 18, 2024.
1. ANDREW NEMBHARD OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+124)
Odds: +124
Probability: 56.6%
Projection: 4.7
Edge: 12.2%
Game: Cavaliers vs Pacers (7PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Cavaliers vs Pacers matchup, with Andrew Nembhard showing value in the total assists market. Our model has narrowed down Andrew Nembhard over 3.5 assists as the best player bet for today. With a 4.2 APG through the 23/24 season, our basketball forever betting bot predicts that Nembhard will exceed the 3.5 assist line set, with a predicted total of 4.7 assists in tonight’s match.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Andrew Nembhard Over 3.5 Total Assists at +124 odds and an attractive 12.2% edge through Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 14.5 REBOUNDS (-104)
Odds: -104
Probability: 58.2%
Projection: 16.3
Edge: 12%
Game: Grizzlies vs Kings (10PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Grizzlies vs Kings game, with Domantas Sabonis showing value in the over rebounds prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Sabonis has been able to average 13.6 RPG, making him the best rebounder in the NBA. Tonight marks the third game that the Grizzlies and Kings will face off against each other. Against the Grizzlies – Sabonis has been able to average a total of 23.5 rebounds (!!!) in their last two matchups. Going into tonight’s game the Grizzlies have a light roster, missing five players. Sabonis should be able to exploit this on both ends of the court. Our Basketball Forever betting bot believes that Sabonis will be able to exceed the over on rebounds.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Domantas Sabonis Over 14.5 Rebounds in tonight’s game, which gives us an exciting 12% edge on the -104 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. JOSH HART OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS (-130)
Odds: -130
Probability: 58.7%
Projection: 14.3
Edge: 11.7%
Game: Knicks vs Warriors (10PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Knicks vs Warriors game, with Josh Hart showing value in the over rebounds market. Josh Hart averages 12.8 RPG over his last 10 games, and has exceeded this 10.5 line in four of his last five. Against the Warriors this season, Hart averages 18 RPG. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Hart to easily exceed this line, ending the game with a total of 14.3 rebounds
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Josh Hart Over 10.5 Rebounds, with an edge of 14.3% at -130 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. DESMOND BANE OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS (-160)
Odds: -160
Probability: 58.7%
Projection: 3.7
Edge: 12%
Game: Grizzlies vs Kings (10PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Grizzlies vs Kings game, with Desmond Bane showing value in the over 3-pointers made prop market.
With Bane averaging 3.3 3-pointers per game before his injury this season, our Basketball Forever betting bot believes this line is set low. With tonight only being Bane’s second game back, we can expect him to shoot a high volume from behind the arc. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Bane will go over this line ending the game with 3.7 3-pointers
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Desmond Bane Over 2.5 3-Pointers in tonight’s game, which gives us a 12% edge on the -160 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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