Another day of NBA basketball is among us. Using our Basketball Forever betting bot, we have meticulously narrowed down the best player prop bets for today’s NBA slate. (2/28) We love offering you data-driven insights to help you make more informed betting decisions.
1. RUDY GOBERT OVER 2.5 TOTAL BLOCKS (+130)
Odds: +130
Probability: 63.8%
Projection: 3.8
Edge: 20.3
Game: Grizzlies vs Timberwolves (8PM EST)
The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Minnesota where the Grizzlies vs Timberwolves get ready to face off. The Timberwolves are up against a Grizzlies team that have been hot and cold this season. In their last three head to head matchups this season, Gobert was able to post an absurd 4.3 blocks per game. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that Gobert will end the game with 3.8 swats tonight. Considering our models projection and Gobert’s track record against Memphis when it comes to blocks, we believe that Vegas may have set the line a little too low for tonight’s matchup.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Rudy Gobert Over 2.5 Total Blocks with attractive +130 odds through Fanduel Sportsbook. We have found a 20.3% edge making this our best player prop bet of the day.
2. LUKA DONCIC OVER 9.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+112)
Odds: +112
Probability: 64.7%
Projection: 12.3
Edge: 17.5
Game: Mavericks vs Raptors (7:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Mavericks vs Raptors game, with Luka Doncic showing value in the over assists prop market. Doncic has been bringing the heat, averaging 34.5 points, 8.8 rebounds and 9.6 assists per game this season. Even in a demoralizing loss to the Cavaliers last night, Luka had 45 points and 14 (!) dimes. Over his last 10 games he’s averaging 9.4 dimes.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an exciting 17.5% edge on the +112 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+106)
Odds: +106
Probability: 60.2%
Projection: 10.3
Edge: 11.7%
Game: Kings vs Nuggets (9PM EST)
The Basketball Forever betting bot has found another top NBA player prop bet, with our sights set on Domantas Sabonis in the Kings vs Nuggets matchup. Sabonis has been putting up 2K numbers over the last six weeks. Over his last 10 games, he is averaging 10.8 assists. Facing a Nuggets team that has a big frontcourt defensively, Sabonis will once again be looked to to create opportunities for his shooters, with floor spacing going to be paramount if Sacramento are going to hang tonight.
We recommend placing a bet on Domantas Sabonis Over 8.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 11.7% available at +106 odds available on Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. TYRESE HALIBURTON OVER 19.5 POINTS SCORED (-110)
Odds: -110
Probability: 60.3%
Projection: 14.7
Edge: 8%
Game: Pelicans vs Pacers (7:30PM EST)
The last NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in Tonight’s Pelicans vs Pacers game, with Tyrese Haliburton showing value in the over points prop market. Throughout the season, Haliburton has averaged 21.5 points, making him the leading point scorer on the Pacers roster. Over Haliburton’s last 5 games he has been able to beat this line in 4/5 showings. He had one of his worst individual games of the season last outing, so expect the two-time All-Star to bounce back tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Tyrese Haliburton Over 19.5 Points Scored in tonight’s game, which gives us a 8% edge on the -110 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
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