THE LOCK
Chicago Bulls v Denver Nuggets OVER 224.5 total points
@ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
16 units
The Nuggets are balling the last two games, getting double digits wins over the Pacers and Hornets. In both matches, Denver dropped at least 120 points. Chicago is a team that can match them with scoring the ball. The Bulls have dropped at least 118points in 3 out of their last 5 games. The last time these two played in early March in Chicago, the total was 230.
In a battle of the All-Stars, we are confident LaVine will help push his team to an upset win after a disappointing showing against the Spurs (blowing a double-digit lead). For the Nugs, the big Joker should have a field day against an undersized Bulls frontcourt with Thad Young starting over Carter Jr. We feel good about this game covering by at least 10 points.
THE MID-RANGER
Boston Celtics Team Total OVER 124.5 points
@ $3.04 (Sportsbet)
4 units
The last two games were not good at all for Boston. They couldn’t execute down the stretch to close out the Jazz and they laid an absolute egg the next night against Cleveland to lose by 7 (they only scored 38 points at HT). This will be a bounce back for the Celtics, it has to be.
Marcus Smart will enter the starting line-up to get a bit of energy back into the core group. Today is the perfect opponent to get rolling again. They face Sacramento, who have no idea what defense is. They give up 120pts per game, which is unspeakably bad. Expect Boston to not only kill the Kings but to score a ton of buckets in the process.
THE SPECULATOR
Kristaps Porzingis 30+ points
@ $6.50 (Sportsbet)
2 units
After an interrupted last 12 months of basketball, KP is starting to find himself. He’s averaging just under 21 points a game over his past 10 hit outs. Portland is an extremely favourable matchup for the Zinger as the best they can do is throw a mix of Kanter & Covington at him. The last three times POR & DAL has played, the big Latvian has dropped 32, 36 & 18. We expect him to have a big scoring night in Portland to help the Mavs build momentum (after taking care of the Clippers).