THE LOCK
Orlando Magic v New York Knicks
OVER 205.5 total points (ALT LINE)
@ $1.84 (Sportsbet)
16 units
We will keep taking the over for low points totals until we get burnt. Today is a prime example of a low points total. New York can easily get to 110 themselves, so all we need from Orlando is to have one big 30+ quarter and to be around the 95-100 mark. The Magic do have Gordon, Fournier & Ross all listed as questionable but we believe at least two out of the three will play. Carter-Williams is confirmed as missing this game, his strength is definitely on the defensive side of the ball – so we will see more Chasson Randle who is a much better offensive player than MCW and can stroke the ball from deep. The Knicks will be keen to get to offense clicking so they can back to winning ways after a couple of tough defeats to Brooklyn and Philly.
THE MID-RANGER
Phoenix Suns Team Total OVER 126.5
@ 3.18 (Sportsbet)
4 units
The Suns have put up some huge totals this season, they have scored at least 125 points seven times this season! They face a TWolves team that don’t have much of a defensive reputation, if any. You might get a revenge game out of Rubio which we feel will only push Phoenix to score more. The Lakers put up 137 on Minnesota just two days ago without breaking a sweat. The most likely outcome is the game is decided after three quarters and we feel confident in the Suns garbage time line-up (which includes Galloway, Kaminsky & Carter) to get buckets.
THE SPECULATOR
Bojan Bogdanovic 5+ threes
@ $6.00 (Sportsbet)
2 units
When you’re struggling, nothing is better than playing against one of the worst defensive teams in the league. Ingles will enter the starting the line-up with Conley out and that only helps Bogdanovic. Bojan normally attempts 7 threes’ a game but we expect him to be in double digits for today. He’s hit at least 4 threes 13 times this season, so we think it isn’t much to ask to get one extra. Bogdanovic will look to make the most of a god-awful Wizards defense to cash in from deep and we hope to capitalise on that.