THE LOCK
Cleveland Cavaliers v New Orleans Pelicans OVER 227.5 total points
@ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
12 units
We are breaking every rule in the book for this lock, so be sure to print off your Love & Sexton photos and create a shrine. Spend some time praying before the game tips off. Both teams have been scoring the ball well the past 10 games with the Cavs averaging 108 and New Orleans 118.
We think Zion will have a field day and Ingram will get back on track scoring the ball to help give the over a kick. Just to throw in another stat, 22 of the Pelicans last 26 games have gone over. Sometimes the wrong pick is the right pick and we feel that is the case with this.
THE ACCUMULATOR
Leg one: Denver Nuggets -2.5 @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
Leg two: Orlando Magic v San Antonio Spurs OVER 214.5 total points @ 1.90 (Sportsbet)
Total odds: 3.80 (boosted)
Total stake: 4 units
The Nuggets are rolling as they entered the AS break on a 4-game winning streak (including a 30pt blow out against the Bucks in Milwaukee). Memphis are hungry and playing well but until they get Jaren Jackson Jr back, they have a clear ceiling. They will struggle against a Denver team that will have two out of the three best players on the court. Jokic is the ultimate trump card, he scores in multiple ways and you can’t double him because he is an elite passer. The Grizzlies will need a huge Ja Morant game to even cover the 2.5 and we can’t see it happening.
The Spurs get a chance to showcase their youth tonight as they face a depleted Magic team without Aldridge or DeRozan. San Antonio will play up tempo and get out in transition as often as possible while shooting plenty of threes. Orlando will play through All-Star big man Vucevic and should be able to score 100 points, the key will be for the Spurs to run up the score and get to 120 themselves. Life’s too short to bet the under so don’t do it, join us and take the over!
THE SPECULATOR
Nikola Jokic 35+ points @ $5.50 (Sportsbet) – 1.2 units
Nikola Jokic 40+ points @ $15 (Sportsbet) – 0.4 unit
Coming into Memphis to face a tough Grizzlies team, we think the clear advantage for Denver is the big man spot. Jokic will need to take responsibility scoring the ball in order to come away with the win. Take both 35+ & 40+ to get the most out of a big scoring night from the Joker.
Dejounte Murray to get a Triple Double @ $10 (Sportsbet) – 0.4 units
Murray is the man today with DeRozan missing the game due to personal reasons. Dejounte eats up rebounds every game and has enough offense to score the ball, so it’s all about assists today. We feel good he can get enough assists to get his 3rd Trip/Dub of the season.
Derrick White to get a Double Double @ $13 (Sportsbet) – 0.4 units
Again, no DeRozan provides a ton of opportunity for others to handle the ball and create. We like White’s chances to produce his normal scoring output and to get in on the assists with Murray to be in double double range.
Justin Holiday 4+ threes @ $3.75 (Sportsbet) – 1.2 units
Holiday has hit at least 4 threes in 3 out of his last 5 games. He faces the Lakers who are short on big man so they’ll have no choice but to double team Sabonis. This leaves Justin as the main beneficiary of wide-open shots from deep.