It’s great to have a huge slate of games today, we are keen to get back to winning ways! The Lock & Accumulator will be points totals today. We want to see how teams have used the break to practice, rest and get healthy before attacking money lines and spreads.
THE LOCK
Atlanta Hawks v Toronto Raptors OVER 224.5 total points
@ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
12 units
The Raptors are still shorthanded with Siakam, VanVleet & Anunoby out. In the two games, without these guys Toronto have given up 129pts to the Pistons and 132 points to the Celtics. Today should be no different. The Hawks are building momentum under new coach Nate McMillan picking up two wins on a back to back before the break. They have found some rhythm offensively and will look to continue that. Expect Powell, Lowry & Boucher to do the heavy lifting scoring the ball to keep up with Atlanta’s offense spearheaded by Trae Young. We don’t like the over, we LOVE the over!
THE ACCUMULATOR
Leg one: Boston Celtics v Brooklyn Nets OVER 231.5 total points @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
Leg two: Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 230 total points @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
Total odds: $3.80 (boosted)
Total stake: 4 units
Boston welcome back Marcus Smart and while we think it will give the team a nice boost, we can’t see it being enough to slow down the Nets offense. The first time these teams played early in the season Harden & Griffin weren’t on Brooklyn yet and Kemba was still injured. With all three available today, points should be put up at a high rate covering the total with relative ease.
When it comes to our second leg, Golden State and the Clippers play each other tough with a rivalry stretching back the past 5 years. They’ve played each other twice this season and both games fell short of today’s line (230) by at least 10pts. Both teams are healthy coming into this one and both went into the AS break on a 3-game losing streak. Today’s matchup has a tight game written all over it and we certainly don’t see this one being a shootout. 3.
THE SPECULATOR
Mason Plumlee triple double
@ $41 (Sportsbet)
0.4 units
The value with Mason is ridiculous, he secured a triple double just two games ago against a depleted Raptors team. He faces a poor Hornets defense today and we see potential for him to snap up his 3rd trip/dub of the season.
Jimmy Butler triple double
@ $5 (Sportsbet)
1.2 units
No BAM for the Heat today so Jimmy will need to continue playmaking, he’s at home to a pretty hopeless Magic team. We can see Butler taking a back seat with scoring the ball and putting an emphasis on assists & boards.
Chris Paul to get 12+ assists
@ $4.50 (Sportsbet)
1.2 units
Chris Paul to get 14+ assists
@ $10 (Sportsbet)
0.6 units
We’ve doubled down on the point god today, he has been playmaking the hell out the ball recently. He had back to back 15-assist games on the road against struggling defensive teams in Chicago & Minnesota. He’s on the road against the Blazers today and we feel great about him racking up another 15-assist game.
Seth Curry to hit 5+ threes
@ $13 (Sportsbet)
0.6 units
With Embiid & Simmons missing this game Tobias Harris becomes the focal point and we are predicting Seth will have a big role today playing off Harris. Curry will need to stroke the 3 ball in order to space the floor for his team, we are backing him to shoot straight fire from deep.