NBA TIPS – March 11, 2021

THE LOCK

Washington Wizards v Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 237.5pts

@ $1.90

12 units

We will take the under for this game every day of the week. In the Wizards last 10 games on the road the average total is 219. They are a high-powered offense and play at a fast speed, but at home (not on the road). The Grizzlies are bottom half in the league for scoring, putting up just over 111pts per game this season.

These two teams played in Washington a week ago and it was a high scoring affair but it still feel short of the total by 2pts. We are predicting a bit of rust from both teams after having a week off and feel great about the total falling at least 10pts short of the line. 2.

 

THE ACCUMULATOR

Leg one: Washington Wizards +3.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

Leg two: San Antonio Spurs +4.5 @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)

Total odds: 3.59 (boosted)

Total stake: 4 units

People need to watch out for the Wizards, they are coming. In the final 10 games before the AS break they went 7-3, with some statement wins against Denver (twice), Lakers, Blazers & Clippers. Washington head into Memphis ready to continue this strong run as they hunt for playoff spot in the East, we like the Wizards to keep it close and even get the win. It was mentioned in the lock how both teams played recently, well the Wiz lost by 15 and were blown off the court in that game. They’ll get the second half of the season kicked off on the right note by getting this one done.

Meanwhile, the All-Star break couldn’t have come at a better time for the Spurs. They were hit hard with COVID but they welcome back White, Gay & Aldridge for this battle of Texas. Dallas and San Antonio always play each other tough, in the last 10 matchups the average margin of victory is 6.1pts. SAS will simply want this game more, they’re 1-4 against the Mavs in the last 5 games and DeRozan is a motivated man, after being snubbed for the All-Star game. The value in the spread is with the Spurs, so we’ll be taking the +4.5 and riding it home. 3.

 

THE SPECULATOR

Tim Hardaway Jr to hit 5+ threes

@ $10 (Sportsbet)

1 unit

We’ve gone with Tim Hardaway Jr to hit 5+ 3s in the past and been rewarded handsomely – as he reached the mark by half-time. The odds for that game against Memphis were $7 and today’s odds are $10. It simply doesn’t make sense. The situation for that game and this one is very similar.

Dallas had an 8-day break heading into the Grizzlies game due to snow storms in Texas. Entering that THJ failed to hit more than 3 threes’ in his previous 3 games. He finished the game 7/11 from deep. Today, (against the Spurs) Dallas are coming off an 8-day break (all-star). In the three games before the break, Hardaway Jr failed to hit more than 3 threes. The Mavericks need his scoring punch off the bench. Everything is in line for Tim to go off again.

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