Stop me if you think that you’ve heard this one before: the Denver Nuggets trail 3-1 in an NBA Playoffs series. Can the Nuggs ignite yet another comeback against the Lakers in Game 5? Dimers’ Game 5 Bet Hub predictions below👇
➖ odds is what you BET to win $100
➕ odds is what you WIN if you bet $100
Dimers’ Suggested Plays
💪 Spread: Nuggets +6 (-110*) // ⛹️♂️ Player Prop: Caldwell-Pope o9.5 points (*-125)
Spread pick:
Nuggets +6 is a 52% chance to cover
Denver has been consistently underrated by the sportsbooks throughout these playoffs, and once again they are given a very healthy 6-point line in this one. The Nuggets have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10, and with the series on the line we’re expecting them to keep it close. Look for them to cover in Game Five.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope to score Over 9.5 points -125
KCP has found his groove in this series as an integral role player for the Lakers. He has scored more than 9 points in each of the four games in this series, averaging 13.5 points in total against the Nuggets. With a high scoring game expected, look for those kick outs to Caldwell-Pope for 3.
Dimers’ take-out
The Lakers might be the overwhelming favorites to win the title, but underestimate the Denver Nuggets at your own peril. This team doesn’t know the meaning of the word ‘quit’ and will push LA all the way to try and extend the series.
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Dimers’ NBA Betting How To’s
How ‘The Spread’ works: A spread bet is when you bet on who you think will win after the underdog has been given a hypothetical ‘head start’. In a game, the books are giving Team X a +7.5 point head start against Team Y. In other words, they have 7.5 points added to their final score.
The two options on this market are effectively Team Y to win by 8 points or more, or Team X to get within 8 points or actually win the game.
If a team wins at the spread, they are said to have ‘covered’ the spread.
How ‘The Moneyline’ works: A moneyline bet is simply a bet placed on which team you think will win the NBA game head-to-head. The more likely a favorite is to win according to the sportsbook, the less you can win by betting on them. But the less favored an underdog is, the more you can win if it hits.
If we quote an edge (as a %), this is the difference in the probability suggested by the odds (what the books predict) when compared to Dimers’ predictive modelling = VALUE!
How the ‘Over/Under’ works: you bet on the total amount of points to be scored, in the example above, by a particular player. The sportsbook sets the total points that they believe the player will score, which includes any OT.
Your bet is on whether the player’s total will be more (Over) or less (Under) than that number, or line, set by the sportsbooks.
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Predictions, picks and suggested bets are brought to you by Dimers.com. Dimers’ predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this matchup.
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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.