The Heat are on the verge of their first Finals appearance since 2014 on the back of Tyler Herro’s history-making performance in Game Four.
Boston though will start favorites for this one as they look to push the series out to a sixth game.
Looking to place a wager in this one? Let’s jump into our best plays.
➖ odds is what you BET to win $100
➕ odds is what you WIN if you bet $100
Dimers’ Suggested Plays
🔥 BEST: Celtics moneyline (-161)
⛹️♂️ Player Prop: Jayson Tatum OVER 25.5 points (-112)
🔥 BEST – Moneyline Pick: Celtics has a 61% probability
The Celts need a win here to keep their season alive and our model has them as likely to do so. Through 10,000 simulations of Game Five, Boston came out on top over 6,000 times. Even at -161, they’re still the best value bet.
⛹️♂️ Player Prop: Jayson Tatum OVER 25.5 points
It was a tale of two halves last time out for Tatum, finishing the game with 28 points after failing to register a bucket in the first two quarters. We’re playing the hot hand here, with our model expecting Tatum to go OVER.
🏀 Dimers’ take-out
The total points after four games of this series are locked up at 441-441 and we’re expecting another tight one with the Celtics grabbing the win. Want to sign up for an online sportsbook account but not sure where to start? Find Dimers’ most trusted online sportsbooks here.
Dimers’ NBA Betting How To’s
How ‘The Spread’ works: A spread bet is when you bet on who you think will win after the underdog has been given a hypothetical ‘head start’. In a game, the books are giving Team X a +7.5 point head start against Team Y. In other words, they have 7.5 points added to their final score.
The two options on this market are effectively Team Y to win by 8 points or more, or Team X to get within 8 points or actually win the game.
If a team wins at the spread, they are said to have ‘covered’ the spread.
How ‘The Moneyline’ works: A moneyline bet is simply a bet placed on which team you think will win the NBA game head-to-head. The more likely a favorite is to win according to the sportsbook, the less you can win by betting on them. But the less favored an underdog is, the more you can win if it hits.
If we quote an edge (as a %), this is the difference in the probability suggested by the odds (what the books predict) when compared to Dimers’ predictive modelling = VALUE!
How the ‘Over/Under’ works: you bet on the total amount of points to be scored, in the example above, by a particular player. The sportsbook sets the total points that they believe the player will score, which includes any OT.
Your bet is on whether the player’s total will be more (Over) or less (Under) than that number, or line, set by the sportsbooks.
How do I join a sportsbook?
Online betting is now legal in PA, IN, NJ, CO, WV, IL with more states to
follow. We recommend betting with the market leader, DraftKings, who have matured from Daily Fantasy into sports betting, and have been operating in the USA for close to a decade.
Predictions, picks and suggested bets are brought to you by Dimers.com. Dimers’ predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this matchup.
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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.