We have ourselves a series! The Nuggets are right back in it after winning Game Three on Tuesday night.
Our model correctly picked the Nuggets to cover and Murray to go big in Game Three. Now, we’re back trying to cash some more tickets!
Looking to place a wager in this one? Let’s jump into our best plays.
➖ odds is what you BET to win $100
➕ odds is what you WIN if you bet $100
Dimers’ Suggested Plays
🔥 BEST: Nuggets +6 (-110)
⛹️♂️ Player Prop: Anthony Davis OVER 27.5 points (-118)
🔥 BEST – Spread Pick:
Nuggets +6 has a 53% probability
Denver has well and truly proven that this is an even Conference Finals matchup and our model is very happy to take them at the spread again. +6 is simply too good to pass up, with a 53% chance that we hit again.
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⛹️♂️ Player Prop: Anthony Davis OVER 27.5 points
AD didn’t have his best night on Tuesday but our model has him bouncing back in this one. We are projecting him to put up 28 points which would see him just pass the total points line being set by the books.
🏀 Dimers’ take-out
This is turning into an amazing series with superstars on both sides coming to play. Our data has the Lakers taking a 3-1 lead, but it won’t be easy with the Nuggets likely to cover. Want to sign up for an online sportsbook account but not sure where to start? Find Dimers’ most trusted online sportsbooks here.
Dimers’ NBA Betting How To’s
How ‘The Spread’ works: A spread bet is when you bet on who you think will win after the underdog has been given a hypothetical ‘head start’. In a game, the books are giving Team X a +7.5 point head start against Team Y. In other words, they have 7.5 points added to their final score.
The two options on this market are effectively Team Y to win by 8 points or more, or Team X to get within 8 points or actually win the game.
If a team wins at the spread, they are said to have ‘covered’ the spread.
How ‘The Moneyline’ works: A moneyline bet is simply a bet placed on which team you think will win the NBA game head-to-head. The more likely a favorite is to win according to the sportsbook, the less you can win by betting on them. But the less favored an underdog is, the more you can win if it hits.
If we quote an edge (as a %), this is the difference in the probability suggested by the odds (what the books predict) when compared to Dimers’ predictive modelling = VALUE!
How the ‘Over/Under’ works: you bet on the total amount of points to be scored, in the example above, by a particular player. The sportsbook sets the total points that they believe the player will score, which includes any OT.
Your bet is on whether the player’s total will be more (Over) or less (Under) than that number, or line, set by the sportsbooks.
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Predictions, picks and suggested bets are brought to you by Dimers.com. Dimers’ predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this matchup.
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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.