Celtics vs. Heat Game 3: Predictions, picks and bets
By MATT HICKEY
Will the Heat take a 3-0 lead or can the Celtics get one back? NBA Bet Hub predictions below 👇
➖ odds is what you BET to win $100
➕ odds is what you WIN if you bet $100
Dimers’ Suggested Plays
💵 Money Line: Celtics (-144*)
⛹️♂️ Player Prop: Tatum OVER 25.5 points
Money Line Pick:
Celtics have a 59% chance of winning (-144*)
Despite being down 2-0, the Celtics are favorites once again. Our model rates them at the Moneyline as the top pick in the game, coming in at a 59 percent chance of winning. They had chances in both Game One and Game Two to secure a W so it wouldn’t be surprising if they did it in this one.
Player Prop pick:
Jayson Tatum to score OVER 25.5 points -112
Jayson Tatum has had an incredible playoffs so far and we don’t expect it to stop now. He has scored 29 points or more in three of his last four games, and our predictive model has him scoring 29 in Game Three against the Heat. If you’re keen to try this type of bet, you win $100 if you put down $112 (or, for smaller bettors, win another $10 if you put down $11.20)
Game One of this series was a thriller and we’re hoping it’s more of the same this time around. Keep your eye on the Celtics, who are our top pick in this game, and look every chance of leveling the series.
NBA Betting – How To’s
How ‘The Spread’ works: A spread bet is when you bet on who you think will win after the underdog has been given a hypothetical ‘head start’. In a game, the books are giving Team X a +7.5 point head start against Team Y. In other words, they have 7.5 points added to their final score.
The two options on this market are effectively Team Y to win by 8 points or more, or Team X to get within 8 points or actually win the game.
If a team wins at the spread, they are said to have ‘covered’ the spread.
How ‘The Moneyline’ works: A moneyline bet is simply a bet placed on which team you think will win the NBA game head-to-head. The more likely a favorite is to win according to the sportsbook, the less you can win by betting on them. But the less favored an underdog is, the more you can win if it hits.
If we quote an edge (as a %), this is the difference in the probability suggested by the odds (what the books predict) when compared to Dimers’ predictive modelling = VALUE!
How the ‘Over/Under’ works: you bet on the total amount of points to be scored, in the example above, by a particular player. The sportsbook sets the total points that they believe the player will score, which includes any OT.
Your bet is on whether the player’s total will be more (Over) or less (Under) than that number, or line, set by the sportsbooks.
How do I join a sportsbook?
Online betting is now legal in PA, IN, NJ, CO, WV, IL with more states to
follow. We recommend betting with the market leader, DraftKings, who have matured from Daily Fantasy into sports betting, and have been operating in the USA for close to a decade.
Predictions, picks and suggested bets are brought to you by Dimers.com. Dimers’ predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this matchup.
Read our comprehensive legal online sportsbook reviews here.
*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.