We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best player bets for tonight.
1. ANDREW NEMBHARD OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+110)
Odds: +110
Probability: 59.7%
Projection: 5.2
Edge: 12.1%
Game: Pacers vs Pistons (7PM EST)
The Best NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Pacers vs Pistons game, with Andrew Nembhard showing value in the over assists prop market.
With Nembhard averaging 4.2APG in the 2023/24 season, this line is a little low. Our bot actually projects Nembhard to rack up 5.2 assists tonight. In their last two matchups against the Pistons, Nembhard was able to get 5 and 4 assists respectively. With a 4.5 average assist rate per game against the Pistons, our model believes that Nembhard will exceed this line.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Andrew Nembhard Over 3.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us an exciting 12.1% edge making this our best player bet of the day, with +110 odds currently available at Draftkings Sportsbook.
2. PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+124)
Odds: +124
Probability: 55.9%
Projection: 4.6
Edge: 11.3%
Game: Pacers vs Pistons (7PM EST)
According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Pacers vs Pistons game, with Pascal Siakam showing value in the over assist market. Throughout the 23/24 season Siakam has been able to average 4.5 assists per game, also exceeding the set line for tonight. In the last three matchups against the Pistons, Siakam averages 4APG. Our Basketball Forever betting bot believes that this line is set a little too low and that Siakam won’t have a very difficult time surpassing it.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Andrew Nembhard Over 3.5 Assists, with an edge of 11.3% at +124 odds available on Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. DARIUS GARLAND OVER 1.5 TOTAL STEALS (+175)
Odds: +175
Probability: 48.2%
Projection: 1.4
Edge: 11.9
Game: Heat vs Cavaliers (7PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified another best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The next best player bet takes place in the Heat vs Cavaliers matchup, with Darius Garland showing value in total steals. Our model has narrowed down Darius Garland Over 1.5 Total Steals as a solid player bet for today. When matched up against the Heat, Garland has been able to be a defensive menace, averaging 2.5 steals per game.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Darius Garland Over 1.5 Total Steals at +128 odds and an attractive 12.4% edge through BetMGM Sportsbook.
4. CARIS LEVERT OVER 7.5 ASSISTS (+110)
Odds: +110
Probability: 51.6%
Projection: 8.2
Edge: 9.1%
Game: Heat vs Cavaliers
According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Caris LeVert in the Heat vs Cavaliers showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Caris Levert Over 7.5 Assists.
In the last five games without Donovan Mitchell, Levert has been able to average a total of 9 assists per game – racking up 11,7,9,11,7 over his last five showings. Without Mitchell, Levert has become a key element to the Cavaliers offense, and we expect that trend to continue tonight.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Caris Levert Over 6.5 Assists, with a detected edge of 9.1% and +110 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook.
What Is an Edge in NBA Betting?
An edge occurs when the Dimers.com prediction model projects the probability of an event to be higher than the best odds available with the U.S Sportsbooks. Essentially, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model projects that a bet has a better chance of cashing than the sportsbooks do. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, consistently taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being a profitable bettor in the long run. This is an essential aspect of successful sports betting.
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Our commitment lies in advocating for responsible wagering to ensure a secure and pleasurable experience for everyone involved. Engaging in sports betting responsibly is paramount. Establishing a budget, comprehending the odds, and staying informed about the legal framework in your area are essential steps. Trusted platforms such as FanDuel and BetMGM actively support responsible betting practices, offering valuable resources to help individuals manage their wagering activities in a safe manner.
How to Join BetMGM
Famous for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to wager on virtually every aspect of major sporting events, including game results and individual player performances. Moreover, it provides comprehensive in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place wagers while the action unfolds, heightening the excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an enticing welcome bonus that allows you to instantly enter the game of sports betting with a nice bankroll to work with.
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How to Join FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel offers a user-friendly platform tailored for newcomers to sports betting. It boasts a diverse selection of betting options, encompassing traditional choices such as point spreads and moneylines, along with an extensive range of prop bets. Moreover, FanDuel extends a generous welcome bonus, providing new users with a layup as they start their betting journey.
FanDuel Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
How to Join DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook presents an intuitive and easy-to-navigate platform, perfect for those just entering the world of sports betting. It showcases a broad spectrum of betting possibilities, from classic options like point spreads and moneylines to a wide array of NBA prop bets. Furthermore, DraftKings Sportsbook offers an enticing welcome bonus, giving new users a nice boost to start their betting adventures.
DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.
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